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Thursday, February 22, 2018

Poroshenko is risking: the experts assessed the implications of removing Saakashvili from Ukraine


Deported from Ukraine to Poland the former head of Georgia and Odessa region Mikhail Saakashvili said that soon will arrive in Kiev Borispol airport, where they will wait for loyal supporters. However, he urged the EU to help Ukrainians to wring the neck of their President Petro Poroshenko, as otherwise it will bankrupt the Republic. Experts told the “MK” will the West Saakashvili to change the power in Kiev, and how will it affect Ukraine:

Kirill MOLCHANOV, Deputy head of the Ukrainian Institute of policy analysis and management:

– Any legal obstacles to the removal of Saakashvili from Ukraine was not, as he lost the court case on the legality of the deprivation of his citizenship. Besides, against it criminal case on charge in cooperation with the fugitive oligarch Sergei Kurchenko. Of course, it gave him a kind of second wind in the fight against Poroshenko, but in General, the prospects for further stay in Ukraine became even more elusive. Given that the West is well aware of the corruption of Poroshenko, Saakashvili can count on the support of the European Union. In the end, the next election, the Europeans will rely on the opponents of the current Ukrainian President.

Vadim KARASEV, the head of the Ukrainian Institute of global strategies:

Saakashvili can return to Ukraine, though, it will happen soon. And thus he will demonstrate Poroshenko, who is actually master of the country. If he happens to return, then it will thereby show the omnipotence of the head of the MIA of Ukraine Arsen Avakov, as ultimately it is he who decides who to let, and who not to let into the country. If the Ukrainian government was monopolized in the hands of the President, Saakashvili would not be able in the autumn of 2017 to break out of Poland in Lviv oblast, but we have no single center of power, so then he was able to take advantage of the confrontation between the major players to slip. However, driving Saakashvili back to Poland, Poroshenko has proved that to agree to stay in the country it is necessary with them, not with the security forces.

However, demonstrating their abilities in front of domestic audiences, Poroshenko strongly ventured into the international arena. In this conflict the West clearly is on the side of Saakashvili. The President of Ukraine was originally wrong when he invited the former President of Georgia in Kiev, and then gave him the management of the Odessa region. Now he is sorting out the consequences of their mistake.

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