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Monday, February 19, 2018

The specter of revolution goes for broke


The scandal of depositors of failed banks and the Agency for Deposit insurance (DIA) is gaining momentum, acquiring the “spicy” details and assumptions. When at first glance parochial argument passed to stage pickets and public explanation, it becomes clear that the interests at stake more serious players than ordinary investors. And at the end of the week has raised a serious wave of “hype” in the Telegram-channels, which are now the main platform for insider thefts: here goes everything that the media can be prosecuted. First, the number of channels reported that the owners of insolvent banks trying to get people from the Central Bank. Next came posts about that ex-bankers are trying to undermine the banking system and sponsored by the opposition ahead of the presidential elections, to return the assets selected by the controller. “MK” understands, who still benefit from this scandal, but one thing is clear — investors obviously someone uses to their advantage.

The scandal of depositors of failed banks and the Agency for Deposit insurance (DIA) is gaining momentum, acquiring the “spicy” details and assumptions. When at first glance parochial argument passed to stage pickets and public explanation, it becomes clear that the interests at stake more serious players than ordinary investors. And at the end of the week has raised a serious wave of “hype” in the Telegram-channels, which are now the main platform for insider thefts: here goes everything that the media can be prosecuted. First, the number of channels reported that the owners of insolvent banks trying to get people from the Central Bank. Next came posts about that ex-bankers are trying to undermine the banking system and sponsored by the opposition ahead of the presidential elections, to return the assets selected by the controller. “MK” understands, who still benefit from this scandal, but one thing is clear — investors obviously someone uses to their advantage.

Recall all the fuss revolved around the depositors of PJSC “Bank” and PJSC “Tatfondbank”, which not so long ago, the Central Bank revoked the license. On one side of the fence — investors who managed to revocation of licenses to withdraw their funds from financial institutions, probably, taking advantage of insider information. For some of them, ASV filed suit in the court demanding to return the money to Bank accounts, then to divide it equally among all depositors as prescribed by law. On the other side of the DIA and other clients, who are now at risk of not all that they are supposed to. Paradoxically, the pickets come first and require that the DIA has withdrawn the claims. That has hurt some people, and rally somehow those who only exposes himself affected, although actually are in a winning position, already having received their money in full. Apparently, there’s classic formula: the best defense is a good offense. Moreover, this tactic works: dissemination of information on the requirement to return the money to the state represented by the ASV caused a wave of unhealthy excitement. The most active users of various forums propose radical action to address “leadership”, it is not clear just what — ASV, the Central Bank of the country as a whole.

The head of the Duma Committee on labor, lipolytica and veterans ‘ Affairs Yaroslav Nilov has addressed to the head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina with a request to investigate the legality of lawsuits ASV to depositors of troubled banks. Thus Nilov called the Agency the “state collector”, collecting money from citizens. He also said that such practices only aggravated the crisis of confidence in the banking system.

The state Duma Committee on financial market also plans to send a letter to ASV in connection with the lawsuits of the Agency to depositors of collapsed banks, reported the head of the Committee Anatoly Aksakov. “But I would like also to inform you that basically we are talking about deposits that were filmed ahead of time, and unfortunately, just because of certain relations, certain information from relatives who could use that information to obtain money from banks who had a Rolodex, and really get the situation that those who were “closer to the body,” was able to take advantage of this opportunity. Thousands of people, ordinary, ordinary citizens that had opportunities,” — said the Deputy.

DIA commented on the charges against them. The Agency said that sue only in case of detection of facts preferable satisfaction of requirements of one creditors to the detriment of others and act in the interests of the majority of depositors and other creditors. Thus the actions of bona fide depositors are not in dispute, said the Corporation.

However, the protesters are more than militant. Head of the Union of investors of Russia — the driving force of the protests — Nikolay Nikolaev said that the struggle is neither more nor less for the change of existing legislation and financial system of norms.

At the end of the week, the story made a sudden somersault: Telegram-channels the information that the Central Bank is playing a tricky game and launched an entire PR campaign against the owners of the bankrupt banks. First of all we are talking about Alexei Khotin — eks-the head of the “Ugra”, who is accused of allegedly sponsoring the opposition, in particular presidential candidate from the Communist party Pavel Grudinina. Then in the other Telegram-channels there’s a new version: the conflict of depositors inflated by the opposition (Navalny and/or Grudinin), which uses depositors as a political component at the time of elections to improve their rating (protecting “the downtrodden”) and is sponsored by the ex-owner of the Bank “Ugra” Aleksey Hominem (he is now suing the Bank trying to get a jar license and so might be interested in destabilizing the financial situation around the Central Bank).

The thesis of the Telegram channels that the left-wing opposition is clearly trying to undermine the banking system, seems plausible. In favor of this version of the channel draws an analogy with the historical events of a century ago. Then the Bolsheviks staged in Russia this financial Apocalypse. We will remind, the collapse of the banking system that followed Bloody Sunday in January 1905, was in fact provoked by the Bolsheviks. The economy of the Russian Empire was seriously shaken “the Financial Manifesto”, which idea belonged to the head of the Petrograd Soviet, Lev Trotsky. The Manifesto called on people to withdraw deposits from savings banks and require all cash payments, including payment of salaries, payment of gold to Deplete the gold reserves of the state Bank of Russia and to accelerate financial disaster for the government. As a result, by the beginning of December, 1905, the gold reserves of the state Bank has decreased on 250 million rubles (based on prices in 2017 — 197 billion 750 million rubles).

The actions of the Bolsheviks explicitly close the left opposition that the presidential election is from the Communist party Pavel Grudinin. By the way, recently published his interview with a famous blogger Yuri Dude, where Grudinin touted socialist foundations and promised to build a territory of social optimism in the country. Internet users immediately noticed the strange format of the interview: the Dude asked Grudinina about his income, although usually asks about his companions, what became famous. Many have suggested that the interview was paid for.

Are you searching for truth together with the “MK” the experts to whom we turned for explanations and comments. Our interlocutors doubt that CB is going after the bankers, but to undermine the banking system before the election, according to them, a logical move on the part of ex-bankers and opposition. Rumors are not born in a vacuum, and appearing in the Telegram channel in person, anyway, can be involved in this complicated story.

“This protest form solution to the problem, in my opinion, is unacceptable,” — said General Director of the Center for political information Alexei Mukhin. — Now that question deals with the number of members who work with the DIA and Central Bank”.

“Now facing the pickets investors beat on pity, as those defrauded real estate investors. Apparently, having a certain inside information, they had time to collect the money, however, enlisting in conflict with the law. While here, apparently, there is corruption scheme related to the looting of banks. But can act another scheme: people convicted of corruption should be thrown into the opposition, because they know that the Russian government is afraid to offend the opposition. So they try thus to protect themselves,” suggests political scientist, Director of Institute of political researches Sergey Markov.

The communication of the opposition — today’s heirs of the Bolsheviks — this story sees the leader of the movement “New Russia” Nikita Isaev. “Everything that happens in public social agenda, particularly in fomenting social tensions that spill out into the street, of course, in the period of mobilization of the campaign, relates to the election. Especially to the presidential election, as they are perceived by the population as the election of a person who makes key decisions in the country. Of course, certain requirements that are these Bank protests are of a political dimension. The high activity of the ASV and the Central Bank for the recovery of bad assets, as well as work with banks with revoked licenses caused conventional investors. Of course, it could be a claim on the similarity of the timing of the withdrawal of your own funds before the revocation of the license”.

Isaev believes that certain political elements, primarily those involved in the election campaign, such as the Communist party, can use street protests to exert pressure on the government and also for self-positioning in this race. “Besides, there are those who are not admitted to the election. In the first group Bulk can use this to their advantage in order to create tension for the authorities”, — said the interlocutor of “MK”.

The candidate from the Communist party Pavel Grudinin our call is not answered, but his party talked with us. “I am convinced that the government should force those who deceived the people to pay the money, including through judicial decision. All we can say in General that the situation of people who come out with posters for the state Duma — is a metaphor of a global Scam. And there is a picture of Sergey Korovin “In the world”, which hangs in the Tretyakov gallery, here it shows in the deceived people. Every time I communicate with our shareholders, investors, remember this picture. Her rich chuckles, and the poor man with disheveled hair and red eyes from crying trying to prove his innocence — he deceived”, — commented on the scandal with depositors and the Deposit insurance Agency Deputy from the Communist party Sergei Shargunov.

We surveyed the experts wonder what role in all this play deprived license banks — that is, those who, in fact, was unable to save trusted to them by investors money?

“This can be for unscrupulous bankers. Some bankers interested in the fact that the discontent of investors moved to the political plane. Then it will be possible to play. The political strategists who advise such bankers, great pleasure to be on this topic trying to make a more favorable environment for their wards” — believes Alexei Mukhin.

By the way, going back to historical analogies, it is worth remembering who was behind the Bolsheviks. Many studies have indicated that leaders of the Bolshevik party, which initially consisted of Leon Trotsky, financed by the bankers on wall Street.

Obviously took the controversial nature of the struggle investors with ASV — this is just the tip of the iceberg, under which lies difficult or initially-planned political game, or a serious force decided to use the discontent of citizens for their own purposes, seeing in this situation is fertile ground for political and economic maneuvers. In both cases, investors — a tool for those whose interests are affected big. Possible interested parties: Alex Hawtin and other ex-bankers who are trying to reclaim billions of dollars in assets, and the leaders of the opposition, for example, the Communist party, who are fighting for the interest in the presidential election. Any spin doctor will tell you that, being on the spot ex-bankers or the opposition, it would be foolish not to use the scandal with the investors, the ordinary people, to achieve their goals. In favor of this version says also that fact that it is much more resonant of the situation, as, for example, defrauded real estate investors or FX mortgage holders, had no such information support. So today is represented in the Telegram-the TV version seems the most convincing. We will monitor developments and will issue additional new evidence of this dubious history.

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