While the Russians are preparing to determine the President for the next six years (and someone to boycott the process), scientists speculate, how long can last of the “Putin era”. So, the participants of the discussion on political trends, held at the Gaidar forum, no doubt: the acting head of state will keep this post until 2024. But it could be longer.
Professor, European University at St. Petersburg political scientist Vladimir Gelman believes that the changes will begin after 2018, and the Constitution, write “Vedomosti”. The expert expressed the opinion that there will be new rules that will allow Vladimir Putin to retain the reins of power “for as long as possible.”
Agree with him Professor of Economics Nikolai Petrov, believes that this requires a process of “transfer of power from Putin-President Putin-leader.” Like Gelman, it involves increasing a point, “selective” repression: from his point of view, to punish in this case are not to blame, and random people.
The expert of the Moscow Carnegie center Andrei Kolesnikov foresees a different scenario in which Putin will be “the successor not of man, and the successor generation”, the newspaper writes. It looks like the transfer of the country’s assets to the children of the current elite – a system Kolesnikov has described as a “dynastic state capitalism.”
However, there is another opinion. Did not participate in the discussion, political analyst Dmitry Orlov does not see the interest of the government in the inertial scenario. According to him, Putin will retain political influence after 2024, when the next presidential term. However, the President does not want to change the Constitution, and the corresponding public demand no, says Orlov.
See also: 2018 Elections: Putin ahead of nearest rival by 65 per cent
A survey in mid-December showed the readiness of most Russians again to choose President Vladimir Putin. In his victory no doubt “candidate against all” Ksenia Sobchak. And someone, as one of the founders of the movement “Nashi” Boris Yakimenko, and all came out of the presidential race tuning to win in 2024.