The news of the establishment by Americans of the Kurds and the Bedouin “armies to protect the borders of Syria” is perceived with hostility and Damascus, and Ankara. But if the Assad government while in a rush, the Turks aimed at a major military operation. Ultimately, this strange idea threatens to be a trap for trump, because it is doomed to failure.
The Syrian foreign Ministry that the U.S. plans to form groups of armed militia in the North-Eastern border of the country described as “a blatant aggression against the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Syria” and “an outrageous violation of international law” and urged the international community to put an end to “the arrogant and hegemonic policy of the United States administration”.
The desire of Americans to create from the Kurds and certain Arab tribes of the Euphrates valley some “army to protect the borders of Syria” have caused a backlash of anger and hatred is quite natural. Despite any specifics of all this was not acquired until now, and 250 of Kurds allegedly have undergone some kind of “first step preparation”, not in the bill.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has promised not to destroy this “army to protect the borders”. Ankara has everything to do with PKK and Kurds in General, it causes outbursts. Turkish Haberturk news Agency with reference to sources in military circles reported that the army had allegedly planned 149 (why not 150?) goals in the Kurdish settlements Afrin and Manbij.
The Turks have several times tried to discourage the Kurds Afrin, but pre-announced military action in Syria constantly frustrated. The Turkish army was simply not ready for this kind of operations and serious casualties among the border Crosser advanced units forced the General staff to reconsider its approach to the tactics of pressure on the Kurds. Now the operation will be given to no more than six days (why not a week?), and it will be carried out in the regime of terrorizing attacks of the artillery and aviation with a large distance.
In this context, the Turks especially angered information about the possible appearance of the Kurds MANPADS American origin. Such gestures in Ankara is perceived almost as a personal insult. The Turkish-Kurdish relationship is basically one of the dead ends of civilization, and now the United States is quite wrong to shake a situation. Turkish sources have reported the movement of a column of armored vehicles to the Turkish border with Syria under the Afrin.
On the one hand, the American plan is very similar to previous attempts of the Pentagon and Langley to artificially create allies. And it does not matter exactly who will develop the resources of the military or the CIA. Over the past four years we have seen several such desert Golems of American manufacturing – from LIH* to “moderate opposition”. How it was spent unaccountable money and what happened in the end, we also remember. And if every first Bedouin managed to fool the CIA operatives around the finger to get a gun and some money and then leave with it in the desert, it is difficult even to imagine what to do with tseerushniki much more cunning and resourceful Kurds.
They are only at first glance seem uncouth highlanders, still living in the twelfth century, adjusted for socialism. They have a clear goal to which they with this of the XII century is going slowly – an independent Kurdistan. Obscured this goal in different historical periods and Muslims and the crusaders, Armenians, Persians, Turks, and British, and again the Turks, and oil, and the lack of oil, and Ataturk, and the BAATH party, and again, Turks, Turks, Turks. Accordingly, allies of the Kurds situational may be all who oppose the current chief of the pest.
Purely geographically North-East of Syria, where the Americans plan to establish a new hearth of Kurdistan, now detached from the army. There was only a small city garrison, all the war, living surrounded by the fraternal Kurdish people, nervously waiting to see which way the wind blows. Even now the government army is not up to the Kurds: Damascus will not get involved in this strange political and military chaos in terms of lack of power even for basic fronts. The Assad government is much easier to negotiate with the Kurds about the peaceful coexistence that is perfectly understood everywhere except in Ankara. Therefore the Turkish side is furiously beating against the participation of Kurdish representatives in the negotiations and on any other site. And then there’s the Yankees with their “border security”.
At the same time Damascus is not necessary for such negotiations to artificially push. Because strange is the view that the separatism of the Kurds, encouraged by the Americans, is beneficial to accelerate the Syrian peace dialogue, and the American army and some “mobile groups” – the main guarantor of the territorial integrity of Syria in the North-East, because holding back Ankara’s attempts to seize the area. This is nonsense. Nothing Ankara won’t hold if she gets a bug up the ass. And the American “mobile groups”, as a rule, the object of ridicule, and no one has long been not afraid to shoot at Americans just because he is American. The experience of Mali, confirms this.
It is noteworthy that this view was expressed by those experts who have recently assented to the slogan “Bashar must go!” from the so-called democratic reasons. They say that Assad is a bloody tyrant, and the “moderate opposition” when they come to power, will hold “free elections” under the supervision of experts from Washington, followed by liberal Arab happiness. Now this position is no longer relevant, but it is still, as we see, can be slightly adjusted.
All these Golems are not the Prague cemetery, in Langley, Virginia, consequently, the quality of them is much worse. Yet in an open clash, no one prepared US military unit in any country in the world has not shown even an average level infantry training. Another thing is that from free help no one in the middle East did not refuse. Weapons is not enough, once again to practice, too.
The Kurds are prone to financial profitable compromise that recently demonstrated in Erbil and Kirkuk. And now they create the groundwork for future negotiations rather trade with Damascus. Yes, they are beyond the scope of their breeding range, to shout loud slogans and waving the guns in front of the cameras. But there is an indisputable truth: the louder someone sings, dancing and waving a gun in front of the cameras, the less he has a real desire to fight.
By the way, trying to draw in new Golems are not only Kurds, but also Bedouin tribes in the war generally did not participate and five years of watching with equanimity the camels, show just that nemetskie areas need to somehow fasten the new structure. Otherwise in future negotiations will be lost element of the Eastern trade, because the subject of exchange can be nemetskie land with Arab populations. And some prefer, the same Kurds can squeeze from its territory of Americans – and they don’t even utter a word in response.
All of this is in any case over the internal investigation and the Senate Commission, as in the case of financing, arming and training “moderate opposition”. Only answer ultimately will have Donald Trump.
But have this whole undertaking and it is extremely unpleasant side. The Americans successfully manage to drive any local war to a standstill for many years. They act by any means and methods: support one of the parties (Ukraine), support for both sides at the same time (Iran-Iraq war), the support taken from the ceiling of the savages (Libya) – the examples are countless. And going so here’s a simple way to Kurdistan, Washington can permanently fix the internal Syrian conflict into an unsolvable phase. If the physical presence of American troops in Syria is impossible and even fraught, why not try to create another Golem.
But with the Kurds this trick may not pass, especially in the situation when against them virtually the whole world around. Even seemingly docile Iraq – and the complex before the face of the revival of Kurdish separatism, not to mention the much more nervous the Turks. So good this story will not end in any case.
* Organization in respect of which the court accepted entered into legal force decision on liquidation or ban the activities on the grounds stipulated by the Federal law “On countering extremist activity”