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Sunday, February 11, 2018

Collusion trump with Nazarbayev: experts predicted the restart of negotiations on the Donbass


The presidents of Kazakhstan and the United States Donald trump and Nursultan Nazarbayev agreed to lobby for the postponement of negotiations for a peaceful settlement of the conflict in the Donbass from Minsk to other capital. The Kazakh leader said that the relevant court is ready to grant his country. The relevance of the move, Nazarbayev explained the impasse in which Minsk agreement. The Kremlin did not criticize his proposal.

photo: akorda.kz

Of collusion with the United States, Nazarbayev said during a press conference in new York following the meeting of the UN security Council. The same day he proposed to hold in Astana negotiations on disarmament of the DPRK. However, if the problem of nuclear weapons Nazarbayev at least once faced (in Kazakhstan was located by the Soviet testing ground of the atomic bombs), on the situation in Eastern Ukraine, he obviously knows not a lot. In particular, the 77-year-old politician said about the need to introduce UN peacekeepers “to Donbass and Luhansk”, and their task will be to establish some boundaries.

In Minsk, Nazarbayev’s proposal responded kept. As stated by the foreign Minister of Belarus Vladimir Makei, from the transfer negotiation area, their quality will not change. The diplomat stressed that his country, unlike others, does not pursue the laurels of peacemaker and does not impose his capital as the site for the settlement of the conflict in the Donbass.

Press Secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov also said the venue of the negotiations does not depend on anything, but to criticize Nazarbayev’s proposal did not. According to him, the main thing that the parties are fulfilling their obligations and retain the understanding that what is happening in Eastern Ukraine is an internal conflict. Does this mean that the Kremlin is prepared to agree to the move if it will bring peace in the Donbass, “MK” has found out from the experts:

Alexander GUSEV, Director of the Institute of strategic planning and forecasting:

It is possible that the idea to meet with trump belongs to Nazarbayev, but her lobbying was the work of Russia, who was interested to send US your truce. Independently, the President of Kazakhstan would never have dared to take this step.

Probably, the participants of the peaceful settlement of the conflict in the Donbas felt that the Minsk agreement has been exhausted, and negotiations new momentum is needed. To ensure it can connect to the process of the United States, which until now has always shunned responsibility for the events in the East of Ukraine. Moreover, they deliver Kiev lethal weapons. If Russia will be able to connect to the “channel format” in Washington, that is, to sit at the negotiating table, trump, the situation will change dramatically. Kiev will not be able to just flout its obligations, if the guarantor will be the President of the United States.

At the same time, the proposal to postpone the talks in Astana was obviously a private initiative of Nazarbayev. This is unlikely to happen, as the capital of Kazakhstan is too inconvenient for the parties to the conflict from the point of view of logistics. In addition, the President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko will certainly make every effort to ensure that conference venue is not left Minsk.

Arkady DUBNOV, an expert on Central Asia:

– Nazarbayev is in any case can not be taken as completely dependent of the player. Despite the fact that the freedom of action of the President of Kazakhstan is limited by the proximity of Russia, as well as threats emanating from Afghanistan, he always strongly defended the right to independent economic policy. And his authoritarianism allowed to make the Republic self-confident regional tiger. Today Kazakhstan has its own development strategy: on the one hand, he remains the closest military-political ally of Russia, and on the other, he’s not on the way to Moscow. In the end, the Kremlin’s decision to support the separatists in Eastern Ukraine have led to serious international sanctions that have hurt not only Russia, but also Kazakhstan.

Nazarbayev’s conversation with trump about the postponement of negotiations on the Donbass from Minsk to Astana will not be a big surprise for Moscow. Can’t say that Russia is disappointed in the Minsk negotiation platform, and is now looking for other approaches, but the remaining members of a peaceful settlement of the conflict definitely have those feelings. In particular, it said Kiev’s decision to legally recognize the DNI and LC by the occupying administrations of Russia, and she herself — as the aggressor and occupier. It’s a tougher position of Ukraine’s new agenda in the negotiations. In these circumstances, Moscow will not work just to dismiss the President and trump.

Sanctions . Chronicle of events
source

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