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Friday, October 20, 2017

Vote all: why are parliamentary elections in Germany confirmed the forecasts of analysts


“Mother remains” — this phrase best characterized the mood of the Germans before the parliamentary elections held on Sunday, September 24. “Mommy”, as you can guess, means the leader of the Christian democratic Union (CDU), Chancellor Angela Merkel. Sunday’s vote, official results of which will be announced on Monday, September 25, will determine not only the party composition of the Bundestag, but also the shape of the new head of government. And results of pre-election polls, and evaluations of political scientists was surprisingly unanimous: the majority of Germans prefer the CDU/CSU and, therefore, the Chancellor will once again be Merkel.


photo: AP

“Overall, the mood of the country is calm. Indeed, many find these choices quite boring, — said the “MK” on election day, Marius, Mortifer, Vice-President of the Thuringian branch of one of the largest in the EU, the youth organization “Young European Federalists”. The main reason is that, according to some, of the parties (primarily we are talking about the CDU/CSU and their main rivals from the Social democratic party of Germany (SPD), headed by Martin Schulz. — “MK”) is not too different. Others believe that Chancellor Merkel will remain and, therefore, will change little. However, certain concerns in society are: the middle layers of society fear that the eurosceptic party “Alternative for Germany” (ADH) will gain strength. Perhaps for the first time in the Bundestag will meet right populist party”.

Indeed, ADG, is opposed to the “dictatorship of Brussels,” since the last parliamentary elections has strengthened its position. In the pre-election rankings, it is third — though with a substantial lead — after the CDU/CSU and the SPD.

Surveys conducted before September 24, in turn, testified that the Merkel-led unit may almost double to stay ahead of the social Democrats.

However, this fact does not negate the importance of elections. The fact that a very high probability of a coalition, not a one-party government (such Merkel, by the way, never managed to create). Despite the strong position of the CDU/CSU and personally the figures of the Chancellor, in German society there is a certain “fatigue” from it, because the post she occupies for 12 years. This, in turn, leads to the “atomization” of the votes of the traditional electorate of the Christian democratic Union among other parties. So now the question is, what color will be painted the German Parliament. Experts the most likely option, it is not possible to form a single-party government, called black-yellow coalition (black – the traditional colour of the conservatives from the CDU/CSU, yellow – of the Free democratic party, not claiming victory, but has a stable electoral base. — “MK”).

As expected, the “fatigue” from Merkel will influence the turnout, many analysts predicted that it will be relatively low. However, in the middle of the day on 24 September, it became clear that the Germans decided to use chance to affect the future destiny of their country. By noon, the turnout in major cities by a few percent exceeded the performance of last parliamentary elections held in 2013.

“The polls I went with friends. At least among my friends to vote all went”, — told “MK” in this regard, 24-year-old student from the University of Erfurt Linus österreich. Even my brother living in Canada, managed to cast their vote. Although intrigue do not.”

source

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