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Friday, March 23, 2018

A major success in Syria: besieged Deir-ez-Zor unlocked – what next

President Putin congratulated the Russian and Syrian military with a major victory over the terrorists in Deir ez-Zor. Syrian government troops with the support of the Russian aircraft managed to break through the defenses of the terrorists and release the city, for several years was in a blockade.

photo: youtube.com

Militants “Islamic state” (ISIS, prohibited in the Russian Federation terrorist group) blockaded the city of Deir ez-Zor. The garrison of government forces, despite the constant attacks from terrorists, the defense held. The supply was surrounded jihadist soldiers and civilians was carried out only by air.

Russian aircraft and fired from the frigate “Admiral Essen” cruise missiles “Caliber” struck a massive blow to the terrorists of ISIS. Using this, the forces of the Syrian government forces under the command of General Hassan Suhel rapidly broke through the defense fighters of the “Islamic state”in the South-West and joined with the defenders of Deir ez-Zor in the area of 137th mechanized brigade.

– While we are talking about that there is a link to one of the blocked garrisons of Syrian troops, says military expert Anton Mardas. – It is clear that the entire group will have to provide and protect because it is vulnerable to counter-attacks and raids of the enemy. In the Syrian desert every skyscraper have to be taken, as the layout of a few people with modern means ATRA is able to pull the enemy, especially since the “Islamic state” works maneuverable in small groups. So there will still be strengthened. Appeared, the truth of which we must still check that there is built up a group of Iraqi militias that crossed the border is from the point of view of confessional imbalance in Syria is not very good. But if they only take part in the operation in Deir ez-Zor, and then leave, it’s probably nothing terrible will not.

As for the surgery, it is necessary to keep in mind that no matter how abused the Americans, if the Pro-American Kurdish-Arab Alliance, the Syrian democratic forces are not blocked Raqqa (the”capital” of ISIS in Syria – “MK”), the forces of the “Islamic state” was focused only on Pro-government group, which is complicating the situation. So the counter-action of the two coalitions that hold down the enemy fighting against this background, have to move forward and ensure success. But to connect to the blocked garrison – does not mean to take Deir-ez-Zor. We are talking about the West side of the city, but there are also Eastern side, which is a residential development where there are tens of thousands of people (the other escaped). There is a defense of the “Islamic state” is built, there is a network of underground communications for maneuvering, there are numerous sniper groups have forced mobilization of the local population. There have to keep fighting. It is difficult to make forecasts, there is, in theory, you can seriously get bogged down.

Another point which comes in mind: specifically, in the city of Deir ez-Zor “Islamic state” is not very big: around 1.5 thousand. But a group of militants in the cities of the lower Euphrates, according to some estimates, more than in 2-3 times. The most problematic of the counter – terrorism actions of the city of al-Bukamal (Abu Kamal) and al-Kaim (El-Kyme). Al-Bukamal – Syrian city, and al-Qaim – Iraq. This “city gateways”, which for many years was used by all predecessors of the “Islamic state”, there is structured communication, underground infrastructure and to clean the area is simply impossible. But these cities need to be monitored for counter-terrorism activities, taking into account their distance is extremely difficult. Therefore, even if the Deir ez-Zor will be fully unlocked and after some time will be taken from the Eastern part, there is still a lot of problems. Including in terms of establishing relations with the Kurdish-Arab Alliance “of democratic forces”. Damascus and Russia have a trump card, because there are oil fields, and the local tribes are quite changeable in their moods – and the economic support it can to entice them. Although Sunni tribes traditionally very complicated relationship with Damascus. So it’s all very difficult…

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