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Tuesday, March 20, 2018

The UN announced the imminent end of the Syrian war: experts doubt

U.S.-backed Alliance of Arab and Kurdish forcesSyrian democratic forces,” announced that he managed to free from terrorists the historical part of Raqqa. This Syrian city is considered the unofficial capital of the banned terrorist organization “Islamic state” (ISIS). After the fall of the Iraqi Mosul, raqqa became the last major town under the control of terrorists. The UN special envoy on Syria Staffan de Mistura expressed hope that completely dislodge the militants from the city will be able by the end of October. But is it easy to defeat the Islamists? This “MK” talked to an expert.

photo: pixabay.com

“Our troops have taken full control of the old city of Raqqa after clashes with ISIS. Now we come to the borders of the Central part of the city, where the latest terrorist forces,” — said the representative of the “Democratic forces of Syria,” Talal Sello. Thus, under coalition control was 65% of the territory of Raqqa. Earlier, representatives of the U.S.-backed Alliance said that complete liberation of the Syrian city from terrorists may take another two months.

In these estimates with the coalition and agreed to UN special envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura. “The Syrian government with the support of Russia, most likely, will release Deir-ez-Zor to the end of September or early October,” he said in interview Bi-bi-si, adding that, perhaps, the fall will be able to dislodge the militants of Raqqa and Idlib.

“I would refrain from such estimates, because we don’t know what’s inside and in what ways the terrorists would knock out of Raqqa — said in comments “MK” senior researcher, Institute of Oriental studies Nikolay Sukhov. — If as in Mosul, coalition strikes “crumble” everyone, including civilians, it is possible to liberate the city in the end of October, if they set themselves such terms. Much depends on how the leaders of ISIS (banned terrorist organization) are going to stay in Raqqa. It is known that they are already using escape routes, manpower moved to other places. If they decide that it is a symbolic battle to the last, the process may be delayed, taking into account tunnels, underground fortresses and other things.

ISIL has remained in control zone only small settlements, but in the case of the fall of Raqqa do not have to assign a new capital of the “Caliphate”. “Islamic state” has announced to its supporters that it goes on underground work.

On the one hand, the fall of Raqqa could become a symbolic victory. The coalition led by the USA will be very much about it to speak and use it to the fullest in order to achieve the propaganda effect. On the other hand, to fully defeat ISIL is impossible. It’s not just a group of people or territory, it’s an idea. And that idea about the restoration of the Caliphate to erase from the head of the Muslims in the near future will be impossible. This process can last for decades and should include comprehensive work on the economic recovery, the state and the creation of an alternative ideology.”


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