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Friday, April 13, 2018

The death of a Syrian MiG heralds Manuja fall into the hands of Assad

Still not clear whether the downed Syrian fighter plane crashed on the border with Turkey, a Pro-Turkish militants or crashed due to malfunction. However, after this episode, Ankara said it was ready to make concessions to Bashar al-Assad, noting that Syrian lands should belong to the Syrians. Does this end the bloody battles of the Turkish and Syrian armies?

On the Internet on Sunday morning there was a video from the crash site of air force fighter jet Syria near the Turkish border. The pilot managed to eject and were later found within 500 metres from the scene of Hatay province. Earlier, the Turkish rescuers found the pilot of the crashed fighter. Pilot wounded.

“Such machines have already brought down over Eastern Aleppo, and also could not understand suffered a plane crash himself, or was shot down from MANPADS or heavy machine gun”

First, the pilot was taken to the gendarmerie, and after hospitalized. The pilot is in hospital in the Turkish city of Hatay. The pilot could not find due to bad weather, reports “Interfax”. Haberturk says that the pilot was one. We will remind, the day before the incident – according to different reports, this MiG-21 or MiG-23 fell on the territory of Turkey.

The militant group “Ahrar al-sham” claimed that they themselves had shot down the plane, but military sources say he fell because of problems with the engine or other technical fault. It is worth noting that “Ahrar al-sham” – the Pro-Turkish group.

A collision is imminent

As the newspaper VIEW, in recent days, there have been documented cases of direct clashes between the Syrian and Turkish armies or under the control of the Turks groups. Earlier it was reported that under El-Bab, near the settlement of Tadef, Turkish special forces tried to break through the line of defense of the SAA with the help of armored vehicles. As a result of 15 Syrian soldiers was killed and three were captured, and two of them do not understand what purpose actively demonstrate on Turkish television. Turkish special forces lost one armored car (she was captured by the Syrians) and about 40 men killed and wounded.

In addition, it was reported on the clashes between controlled by Turkish groups and fighters of the “Democratic forces of Syria” (SDF), in whose ranks fighting Kurdish troops.

At the same time Ankara, it seems, is negotiating with the Syrian government and immediately after the crash of the fighter signaled that it is willing to make concessions. The Prime Minister of Turkey, Binali Yildirim stated that it was not against the control of the Syrian army over Managem, adding that Syrian lands should belong to the Syrians. He noted that the self-defense forces of Syrian Kurds are leaving the city, reports RIA “Novosti”.

Tehran could provoke a conflict with the Turks

Head of the research Department of middle East conflicts and the armed forces of the region of the Institute of innovative development Anton Mardas, commenting on the newspaper LOOK crash, noted that in General the aircraft of the Syrian air force, and this, by assumption Mordasova, may be MiG-21 and MiG-23, and combat training aircraft L-39, very old – they are easy to hit even with the help of MANPADS, but, for example, from heavy machine guns. “Such machines have already brought down over Eastern Aleppo, and also could not understand suffered a plane crash himself, or was shot down from MANPADS or heavy machine gun. Have the same “Ahrar al-sham” could be the means to “land” the Syrian plane,” he said. According to Murgasova, the incident with the Syrian plane is not something extraordinary.

If the plane was indeed shot down by rebels, as said Mardas, it is not clear which of the factions of “Ahrar al-sham” he was hit, and the territory of any of the factions, in fact, was bombed by Syrian aircraft.

“The problem is that now the negotiations in Astana, where this group is not directly but indirectly represented. The Turkish operation “Shield of the Euphrates” start split “Ahrar” because its units have gone into the buffer zone, and at first it’s not even publicized. Then, in the framework of the disengagement of the opposition faction was in fact divided into two camps: tending to the “an-Nusra” and the “free Syrian army” (FSA)”, – he explained.

Of Mardas pointed out that this division is allowed to accept the part of a group which tends to the FSA, the “moderate opposition”, and it controls the main areas on the Syrian-Turkish border. “However, this separation does not allow “Ahrary” right to participate in the process, especially when in some areas of Damascus continues to attack his troops,” – said the expert. Nevertheless Mardas pointed out that indirectly “Ahrar” was presented at the negotiations in Geneva.

Also the military expert noted that in the region in Idlib, as such points of contact between Syrian government forces and the opposition no. “It is possible that conducting such bombings, Syrian air force deliberately, on their own initiative to disrupt the peace agreement. The Syrian air force intelligence, responsible for providing coordinates, a very strong influence of the Iranian military. Tehran is its own game, and he really doesn’t like the participation of Turkey in the negotiations in Astana. The bombing of the “Ahrar al-sham” could be a deliberate provocation,” he suggested. According to Murgasova, Damascus and Tehran may deliberately break the truce in order to prevent the strengthening of Turkey’s positions in Syria, and thus effectively “substituted” Russia at the talks in Astana.

Moscow and Ankara is reluctant to embroil

As for the episode, the Mardas believes that it should refrain from baseless allegations against the Turkish side. “If the Turks themselves ordered to shoot down a Syrian plane, and then they sent a search party found the pilot and provided him with medical care, it is really very “cunning” plan. You have to agree, it is illogical”, – he explained. In addition, said Mardas, Moscow and Ankara realize the benefits of mutual cooperation, not only in the Syrian conflict. “For example, the capture of Eastern Aleppo under the control of the Syrian government army has become possible just with this collaboration. Moreover, Moscow is thus able to come out of the bunch only Syria – Iran, it is important to establish relations with the Sunni world”, – the expert believes.

In addition, according to Murgasova, translation of conflict into a political channel, mild decentralization of the country, solving the problems of refugees, post-war reconstruction of the country – all this can be done only with the Russian-Turkish cooperation.

The expert recalled that the operation “shield of the Euphrates” was agreed with Moscow, and the subsequent joint actions in the area of El-Baba showed agreement on military lines – where the line of demarcation along the M4. “Yes, there is not without clashes between Pro-government forces and Pro-Turkish, but such incidents sides tried to settle quickly. What they will expected. At least because in “the Shield” involved teams, which previously fought the regime in Eastern Aleppo,” – said the expert.

According to Murgasova, Turkish weakened by the Kurds is understandable, but in this case both Russia and the United States have tried to prevent clashes between their allies. “Therefore, various unpleasant episodes do not go beyond the incidents,” he concluded.

Perhaps in the region finds itself and Americans

Meanwhile continues to receive the informal information that the United States is going to start large-scale ground invasion of Syria. Before such data was published by The Washington Post.

According to “Kommersant” sources familiar with the situation told the American journalists that prepared by the U.S. Department of defense plans for the assault on Raqqa involve the strengthening of American forces in the region. Supposedly, according to the Pentagon documents, you will need to transfer a large contingent of troops, including special forces, helicopter gunships and artillery. To do this, journalists should remove imposed by Barack Obama, the limit on the number of troops in Syria.

Earlier a similar proposal to the Americans came from Ankara. In addition, this is not the first information of this kind, which appeared in the American media. VZGLYAD out in detail the nature of the possible involvement of U.S. armed forces in an operation in raqqa.

The crash of the aircraft Syrian air force in Turkey


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