In a telephone conversation with Petro Poroshenko, Donald trump announced the US intention to “work with Russia, Ukraine and other interested parties on the restoration of peace on the Ukrainian border”. Experts note the lack of threats and accusations by the American leader. Can you talk about the new tone of relations between Washington and Kyiv?
The presidents of the United States and Ukraine Donald trump and Petro Poroshenko spent Saturday evening phone conversation.
“The American President has not forgotten that during his election campaign, the Ukrainian government actively supported Hillary Clinton, and now, quite possibly, the United States can conduct a reshuffle in the Ukrainian establishment”
As reported on the website of the President of Ukraine, Marina Poroshenko have discussed “the issues of strengthening of strategic partnership” and the situation in the Donbass, in particular, the worsening of the crisis in the area of Avdeevka.
“The parties noted the urgency of establishing a regime of complete ceasefire”, the statement reads. Poroshenko thanked Trump for “strong support for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine” and called for increased economic and business ties.
In addition, trump and Poroshenko discussed the upcoming visit of the President of Ukraine in Washington.
In a statement, the White house reported that Donald trump has announced plans to work together with Russia and Ukraine to restore peace in the Donbass. “We intend to work with Russia, Ukraine and other interested parties on the restoration of peace on the Ukrainian border”, – transfers words of the trump Reuters.
For the first time in a long time, the conversation of American and Ukrainian leaders did not contain calls for Russia to “stop”, “keep”, “run” and so on. Moreover, last night in Donetsk was relatively quiet. The townspeople say the shelling stopped. “Tonight there was nothing, there was silence. Why shooting stopped, and how long the silence will last I have no idea,” – said the newspaper VIEW living in Donetsk journalist he Sadyhanov. Blogger from Donetsk Denis Selezniov also confirmed the improvement of the situation. “The shelling stopped, was a sluggish shooting from cannon artillery, but within, so to speak, normal. Hits on residential areas was not”, – said Seleznyov.
We will remind that this week in the Donbass resumed serious fighting on separate sites along the entire front line. Observers note that such intensity was not a long time ago, in 2015. There are victims not only among the military but also among civilians. Ukrainian media exacerbation of the window associated with the first telephone conversation between Vladimir Putin and Donald trump. But the unexpectedly harsh response of the militia, in their interpretation, as it confirms the theory that the new American administration will not support the aggressive plans of Kiev and a large-scale offensive can not count.
The scientist-americanist Victor Olevich believes that the situation in the South-East of Ukraine and the conflict in the Donbass will depend on the overall negotiation process between Washington and Moscow. “First and foremost, whether reformatted the overall relationship with Russia and China and Iran. Poroshenko is not a full-fledged independent entity. In the case that the US and Russia fail to agree, we should expect changes in the American position on the issue of Ukraine and Donbass. For US Ukraine is not the most important topic in foreign policy”, – said political scientist newspaper VIEW.
Americanist Nikita Kurkin also believes that trump is considering the conflict in the Donbas as part of a large foreign trade with Russia. “Bargaining has not yet begun, but, declaring that he was ready to negotiate with Russia, trump thus demonstrates the seriousness of its intentions with respect to Russia,” – said the analyst.
Olevich, in turn, recalled that the Obama administration preferred to use Kiev to justify sanctions and to play off each other Russian and Ukrainian people, supporting a sort of hotbed of tension near our borders. Now, according to Olevia, new American power is at a crossroads and the strategy for Ukraine and Donbas could change if Russia reach a comprehensive geopolitical arrangement.
“Trump is a political realist and builds a policy based on hard calculation,” he added.
According to Kurkin, we can say that Ukraine deliberately escalated the conflict in the Donbass again to attract the attention of the West and to indicate the position of the new us administration.
“However, the reaction of the trump, as we see, was not quite the same as expected Poroshenko. Now Ukraine may lose the support of both Europe and the United States that will be her failure,” the expert added.
Kurkin reminded that the current Ukrainian government during the election campaign, openly supported Hillary Clinton. “I don’t think trump is one of those people who forget something”, – concluded the americanist.
Victor Olevich also believes that the White house has not forgotten all those spokes in the wheel that Ukraine would put Trump in the course of his election campaign. In particular, constructive dismissal accused of working for the Yanukovych Paul Manafort and unflattering statements by leading Ukrainian politicians. “The American President has not forgotten that during his election campaign, the Ukrainian government actively supported Hillary Clinton, and now, quite possibly, the United States can conduct a reshuffle in the Ukrainian establishment. Perhaps this can explain reports of the meeting, trump and Yulia Tymoshenko”, – said the americanist.