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Friday, February 23, 2018

The “big eight” Russia is no longer needed

The statement of the Minister of foreign Affairs of Germany about the desirability – ever – return of Russia to the “big eight” means no invitation to Putin to attend the summit, no change in the position of the West towards our country. But suppose that the leading countries of the West is really ready to invite Russia into their circle. Do we really need this?

As you approach the summit “seven” in Bavaria a number of German politicians expressed the hope that in the future, was restored in the format of “eight”, which was suspended by the West over the return of Crimea to Russia.

“The question of the resumption of the “eight” is important only for the West – for Russia, this problem does not exist”

If current Ministers say that it will become possible after implementation of the Minsk agreements, the retirees can afford more. Thus, the former Chancellor Schroeder called Putin’s failure to invite error at the current summit. Another former head of government, Helmut Schmidt, and even stated that without the Russian President is meaningless to hold a summit, and expressed confidence that Moscow would accept the invitation on participation in the summit if it was done properly.

The current German Ministers talking about the future tense. The Minister for economic cooperation of Germany Gerd Muller has expressed hope that Russia will participate in the next summit, adding that the timing of the return to the club depend on Vladimir Putin: “the Minsk agreements on the settlement in Eastern Ukraine must finally be made. Then Russia will again be a place at the table “seven”.

And the Minister of foreign Affairs Frank-Walter Steinmeier, justifying the rejection of the “eight” the West “could not ignore Russia’s violation of international law”, said that “we may not be interested in the fact that the G8 has become a forever G7. We strongly need Russia for the resolution of chronic conflicts in neighbouring regions in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and around the nuclear program of Iran… I’m sure that returning of Russia in “group of eight” could improve international cooperation”.

Berlin had to react to going in Germany the discussion about the absence of Russia in Bavaria – it is clear that the main point of the discussion of “sevens” will be the Ukrainian crisis and “what to do with Russia.” As formulated by one of the German analysts Volker Perthes, “a situation in which seven countries will speak about the eighth instead of eight important powers jointly talked about the situation in the world.” It is also clear that in the German society and elites are very strong sentiments in favor of restoring normal relations with Russia. In addition, many understand that Washington is using Berlin to its geopolitical interests. But honestly the issue of resumption of the “eight” is important only for the West – for Russia, this problem does not exist.

“Seven” was created in the 70s as the club of leading Western powers, United by a common Atlantic values and plan of globalization and Russia were strapped to her as compensation for the abandonment of its own global project. The exclusion of Russia from “the eights” has become the symbolic end of the West’s attempts to integrate our country into the global project as a first satellite (90 years), and then the younger partner without the right to vote (zero). Russia has long been defined by its relationship to the “eight” – you had, you called, you had to, you excluded, then it’s your problem. Another confirmation of this was announced on Thursday and the Russian foreign Ministry.

The illusion of the 90 that participated in the “eight” gives a certain status and ability to influence global Affairs, Moscow has no inherent contrast, that the West needed a mechanism for “eight” as a form of supervision or influence on Russia. Which, however, in recent years no longer worked.

As soon as Russia defending its national interests, entered in open geopolitical conflict with the U.S. – Ukraine – immediately followed by an attempt to “punish” our country excluded from the club. The senselessness of such a move, as the whole history of sanctions “blockade”, just now starting to walk to most leaders of Western countries. However, the Anglo-Saxons to the conflict in Ukraine was merely a pretext to cast an operation to destroy European-Russian relations. And now that Europe wants to restore relations with Russia – not at the level of individual States, and that this happens, but as a geopolitical unit, it will have to use other formats. “Seven,” symbolizing the Atlantic hypostasis of the West and one form of the control of Washington over its allies, Russia will never join.

“Seven” is not the most industrialized and democratic country, how it serves, and the global project-the Anglo-Saxon elite – the US, UK and Canada (not formally remaining a part of the British Commonwealth) fastened to them by Germany, France, Italy and Japan. Germany and Japan have limited the sovereignty of Americans foreign policy, Italy is firmly immersed in internal problems, France as strengthening the position of its Atlanticist elites consistently loses even the notion of its role as an independent geopolitical player.

Of course, once Germany, France and Japan will truly regain its independence, “seven” will start to pop – but while it remains quite convenient tool for control over the Junior partners of the Anglo-Saxon global project. The sovereign of Russia in this format is pointless.

The very existence of the group was exhausted long before its formal suspension. Created after the global economic crisis of 2008, “twenty” was gradually switched over as master in the world. And this in itself signified a new era, the time of a multipolar world.

Unlike “seven”, which is a General idea of what is necessary and profitable “Golden billion”, in the “twenty” represented all the world’s major centers of power and civilization. Yet Atlantic “club seven” sets the tone and the framework of the “twenty” – using the entire financial elite and the structural power of networks and institutions of globalization – but to do this becomes more difficult. In the framework of the “twenty” will inevitably emerge two poles – “seven” and “five” BRICS countries. Around Russia and China, the core of the BRICS and the SCO, every year will line up various combinations of regional centers of power. Latin America, Arab world, Muslim country, Iran, which will inevitably enter the “twenty”.

Reform of the global financial system, the displacement of the US from a position of financial and military hegemonist, the transfer of the center of gravity of global geopolitics from the Atlantic to the Pacific ocean, changing global agenda from the Atlantic to the multipolar – all this will happen in the framework of “twenty”. And Russia will build their game on the opposition, and then the dismantling of the Atlantic global project on this platform. “Eight” is dead, forget it.


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