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Thursday, January 18, 2018

Elections in Bulgaria and Moldova support the important pan-European trend


Presidential elections in Bulgaria and Moldova are characterized by the almost uncanny similarity – the favorite of the race is a representative of the opposition with Pro-Russian slogans, bypassing representative of the ruling Pro-European parties. It doesn’t look accidental. Both countries are following in line obschezapadnuyu trends that promise only to grow.

The morning of November 14 will be known the preliminary results of the presidential elections in Moldova and Bulgaria, where in Sunday’s decisive second rounds.

“The election of Pro-Russian dithering on a post of the head of state can become a serious challenge for both countries”

Of particular interest is what is happening because in both cases, the favorites of the race are candidates, which observers call a Pro.

Moldova is the leader of the socialists Igor Dodon, the main points of the program which is to restore strategic partnership with Russia, the return of Moldovan products to the Russian market and the normalization of cooperation in the energy sector. In the first round, he received the 47,98% of the vote, while his rival, a spokeswoman for the Pro-European right-wing coalition Maia Sandu scored 38,71%. This was somewhat surprising because the survey promised Dodon more than 50% of the votes and, as a result, victory in the first round.

In Bulgaria the Pro-Russian candidate is the General rumen Radev, who plays for the lifting of sanctions against our country and the return of Bulgarian products to the Russian market. In the first round he beat his rival, the representative of the ruling party “Citizens for European development of Bulgaria” (coat of ARMS) Cecco Cachefu typing 26,45% against its 21,38%. According to opinion polls before the second round of Radev ahead Cachefu 10%.

Elections in both countries are held calmly and without major violations. In Moldova, the turnout at 18.00 was almost 50% higher than in the first round, when just came to the polls 49% of voters. In Bulgaria this year the vote at the election of the President, Vice-President and mayors is required.

In both republics a parliamentary form of government, so the President’s role in public-political system is not so great. But the election of Pro-Russian dithering on a post of the head of state can become a serious challenge for both countries.

Prime Minister of Moldova Andrian CANDU expressed the hope that the next President will cooperate with the government in implementing Pro-European reforms. With regard to Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Boikova, he was much more categorical and stated that in case of defeat of their candidate, the EMBLEM will leave from the country.

A particular problem may be the adoption of the election results by the losing party. The more that protest the election results, turning into riots, are becoming more prevalent and right at the moment are in the US, it would seem that the sample is stable political system and deep traditions of parliamentary democracy.

Igor Dodon, expressing full confidence in his victory, urged opponents to accept the results and not to make protests. Given the sharp reaction of the Bulgarian Prime Minister, it cannot be excluded that in case of victory Radeva situation in the country will not develop smoothly.

Whatever it was, close to elective scenarios in the two countries do not seem a coincidence. Both Bulgaria and Moldova have been for the last two decades differences and national characteristics, but similar Pro-European path moves away from Russia. Eventually a significant part of their societies has been achieved disappointed at the moment with the results.

Moldova became an object of outright romanization and expansionist policy of Romania. However, the polls show that in the case of a referendum on the question of uniting the two countries almost two thirds of respondents would have voted against the Union. For thirteen years (from 2003 to 2016) sympathy for the idea of EU membership among citizens of Moldova fell by almost two times – from 70 to 41 percent.

Bulgaria, for its part, in recent years, famous for several sharp anti-Russian steps of his leadership, for which she painfully paid, whether the closure of the project of gas pipeline “South stream” or the payment of a multimillion-dollar payment to Russia for the termination of the project with the construction of NPP “Belene”.

The current elections and the opinion polls show that society in both countries is split into approximately equal parts over the vision for the future path of the country. Europessimism among the population is growing, while the Executive power in both countries, firmly hold the representatives of Pro-European forces.

At the same time, elections in Bulgaria and Moldova, regardless of outcome, are evidence that these countries are in common to all of the West the trend of development of the situation.

Dissatisfaction with the globalist tendencies and the dominance of supranational bureaucracy, the desire to return sovereignty and focus on national interests, demands to the authorities to hear the demands and needs of society – all these elements were an important part of the most notorious campaigns of recent times, from Brexit until the shocking victory of Donald trump. Bulgaria and Moldova are no exception.

2017 will bring a number of critical elections, in particular in Germany and France. There is hardly any reason to assume that General trends will pass them round.

Bulgaria and Moldova along with the rest of Europe and the United States enter into the dark waters of the transition period.

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