American experts estimate that Russia in case of possible conflict with NATO, will be able to take Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania in just 36 hours, not 60, as previously reported. This is stated in the new study, associated with the U.S. army, the RAND Corporation.
photo: Gennady Cherkasov
The report highlights that the military has conducted a number of exercises, which simulated a Russian attack and capture of the three Baltic States on the “Crimean scenario”. “The conclusion was, frankly, disastrous for NATO”, — experts say. They predict that the capitals of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania will fall in 60 hours.
Analysts have offered three variants of actions in case of seizure of the Baltic States: to start a massive counter-attack and liberate the city, directly threaten Moscow or to deal with the situation in the short or medium term. The first two options will lead to a nuclear conflict, and the last by the protracted “cold war”.
In June, the Deputy Minister of defense for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia Michael carpenter said that Russia could in less than 60 hours to capture the capital of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, and NATO troops will simply not be able to prevent it.
The Russian General staff’s statement has caused confusion. “Why do we have to meddle in the Baltic States — for sprats, what?” the source told the Agency. In his opinion, the Americans strongly underestimated the potential of the Russian army, as in the case of the theoretical need to capture the Baltic States “and that ought to do it”.