In the elections to the Georgian Parliament, leader of the ruling party “Georgian dream”. According to the CEC, after counting data from 3056 (82,55%) areas of “Georgian dream” gains — to 49.26% of votes. Its main rival, the party of former President Mikheil Saakashvili “United national movement” (UNM), total of 26.46%. The sensation was the success of the party “Alliance of patriots” advocating for the improvement of relations with Russia. Until she came out on the 5% threshold with 72 thousands of 412 votes. However, the CEC did not rule out that after the counting of votes with the remaining plots the result of the “Alliance of patriots” will be below 5% barrier.
photo: Gennady Cherkasov
To celebrate the victory of the dreamers yet. The final balance of power in Parliament will become clear only in late November. Parliamentary elections were held under a mixed electoral system: 77 deputies are elected on party lists, and 73 in single — mandate constituencies (majoritarian system). Only in the Georgian Parliament of 150 seats. Its viability depends on whether the “Georgian dream” to form a parliamentary majority. Majoritarian candidates have to score 50% plus one vote. It is expected that the number of electoral districts will have to conduct a second round of voting, as none of the majority does not reach the required number of votes. About the possibility of holding second round of parliamentary elections in many single-member districts said on Sunday the Chairman of the Georgian CEC Tamar Zhvania.
However, it is clear that the triumphant return of Georgia Mikheil Saakashvili will not take place. In comparison with the previous elections his party had a much worse result: in 2012, UNM was about 40% on party lists. It did not happen mashistov to capitalize on the mistakes and miscalculations of opponents, they made over the last four years. Yes, Georgia is clearly a disappointment with the policies of the ruling party, the informal leader and ideologist of which remains the oligarch Bidzina Ivanishvili. But fear of returning extremists from the END is much higher. The “dead” did not help even a poultice, a promise soon to grant Georgia visa-free regime with the EU. As is known, Georgia signed the Association agreement with the European Union in 2014. And hardly a coincidence that on the eve of elections — October 5 — the EU Council “expressed support for” providing visa-free regime for the citizens of Georgia. But to promise — does not mean to marry. Besides, it is doubtful that granting visa-free travel will have a significant impact on the material position of the Georgians, if it’s going to be “Moldovan” — that is, without the right to work.
At the same time, it is obvious that the UNM remains in Georgia a certain electoral base. Nothing surprising in this, because there is a significant layer of people who have benefited from the reforms Saakashvili. This primarily law enforcement officers, who during his reign began to pay huge Georgian standards for wages. It is also the members and activists of the UNM, who are also significantly enriched on the obtaining of another’s property. It and members of their families, and families in Georgia are traditionally large. But the trend is clearly visible: the popularity of the UNM will steadily fall with the prospect of a final transformation into a political corpse.
Analyzing the results of the “Georgian dream”, you should take into consideration that 4 years ago she won the elections in the coalition of six parties. By October 2016, the coalition left four parties which participated in elections independently. The most serious of them: the Republican party, headed by the wife of Davit Usupashvili (the speaker of the Parliament of the previous convocation) and Tinatin Khidasheli (former defense Minister), and the “Free Democrats” Irakli Alasania, who has long been considered the replacement of Saakashvili in the honorable post of “puppet of the West.” The Republican party also differs sharply Pro-Western stance. Most likely, in Parliament, these parties will not fall, as the party of ex-Parliament speaker Nino Burjanadze.