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Monday, October 24, 2016

The experts evaluated the possibility of direct confrontation of Russia and the USA in Syria

Relations between Russia and the United States around the Syrian conflict aggravated: States broke off relations with Russia on settling the situation in the region, our foreign Ministry has accused Washington of US willingness to make a deal with the devil” – that is, terrorists for regime change in Damascus. What will the aggravation of Russian-American relations in connection with the Syrian crisis? Is it possible global conflict, world war III, which some say?

photo: structure.mil.ru

“Now’s probably not worth talking about the possibility of the Third world, not to escalate the situation, says the President of the Academy of geopolitical problems Leonid Ivashov. But collision is possible. The Americans and their allies, including Turkey, are planning military actions – including ground, directly in Syria. It is, in particular, about the liberation of Raqqa. Turkish troops, obviously, will strike, slicing the territory of Syria. And how to act in these circumstances, the Syrian armed forces, Russian HQs – big and tough question. So really, can ignite a major military conflict, the direct participants will be the US and Russia”.

“Concerns of some experts about a possible Third world war is an obvious exaggeration, says “MK” senior researcher at the Centre for Arab and Islamic studies, Institute of Oriental studies Boris Dolgov. In my opinion, such a prospect is excluded. With regard to the deterioration of relations between the US and Russia over the Syrian crisis, first of all, it is necessary to remind that Washington and its allies it is a natural continuation of the policy that they had from the beginning. Their goal is to use any means to remove inconvenient it the leadership of Bashar al-Assad.

Now, when Syrian troops quite successfully act at Aleppo, of strategic importance, the West by any means trying to stop the offensive, keeping the armed Islamist groups operating against the Syrian government. We see – as soon as the Syrian army begins to win, immediately start talking about the cessation of hostilities, humanitarian aid, etc.”

“No Third world war, of course, will not – as I am sure the Director of the Center for the study of the Middle East and Central Asia semen Bagdasarov. But that collision of Russia and the USA on the Syrian theater of war will happen not only indirectly but also directly – is likely. When we fought in Korea, there was a significant aggravation, and was shot down by a large number of American planes in Vietnam in General, eight thousand down. But in any world war II action in these theatres of war is not turned”.

– I do not think that in present conditions it is possible escalation of the Syrian conflict into a Third world war, – said the head of the military forecasting Center Anatoly Tsyganok, – of Course, confrontation and political and economic, but the global war is still very far away…

It is quite clear that Washington announced the cessation of Russian-American cooperation on the Syrian settlement not only diminishes the prospects of achieving at least some peace to the war-torn country, but also creates new threats.”

“The US accuses VC of the Russian Federation and the Syrian army of violating the agreement between Washington and Moscow, in violation of the Geneva accords, is a pretext for the Americans to withdraw from the cooperation, – said Boris Dolgov. But on any radical measures, the United States is unlikely. I mean that “plan B”, which was mentioned earlier, involving a U.S. military intervention in the event of failure of attempts at political settlement of the Syrian crisis.

But I do not exclude that from Washington and allies possible delivery of air defense systems of the radical Islamist groups – of course not direct, but veiled. We have already seen how to shoot down Russian helicopters at a height inaccessible to the current fighters of the air defense systems. But I don’t think there will be a sharp aggravation of the situation. A direct clash of Russian and American armed forces, I believe, will not happen.”

“The United States will continue to do the same thing that was done in the past, says Semyon Bagdasarov, but is likely to increase the amount of military equipment supplied by the so-called opposition. In addition, now in Syria is a significant contingent of several hundred American soldiers, about five thousand NATO troops, not counting the Turkish that prepare opposition fighters. Therefore, the supply of arms, training will continue and may lead to a direct clash.

Our experts are confident that Washington will try to put pressure on Russia because of the situation in Syria. “The pressure will continue: and diplomatic, and possibly sanctions, and withdrawal of relations in other spheres, predicts Boris Dolgov. But it is important to remember that the current US administration goes. And, I believe, in the near future, during the American elections, radical steps for Washington to take will not.”

“Certainly, the pressure will be, says Semyon Bagdasarov. – Obviously, in the form of sanctions – primarily, economic. About their possible nature of me as an economist it is difficult to judge”.

– U.S. Secretary of defense Ashton Carter as recently as a week ago stated the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons. Let’s ask ourselves against whom? It is also nuclear blackmail for Russia – recalls Leonid Ivashov. – Of course, do not forget about the sanctions. The pressure that we are already seeing will increase. And not only in the middle East, but on our Western strategic direction the South-West. This also should be added, and the decision of the U.S. Congress to supply lethal weapons to Ukraine. I think the Americans will soon abandon this anti-Russian strategy.”

Read the story “Resentment of the US on Russia over Syria creates the risk of the Third world”

The war in Syria. Chronicle of events

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