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Monday, October 24, 2016

The scientists saw “a victory for Russian diplomacy” in Uzbekistan

“This is a victory for Russian and Eurasian diplomacy.” With these words, the analysts comment on the candidacy, which seems to be the next leader of Uzbekistan. Uzbek Prime Minister Shavkat Mirziyoev already talked to the President of Russia, and there is reason to believe that this figure gave including China.

On Tuesday the President of Russia Vladimir Putin visited with private visit of Uzbekistan to honor the memory of President Islam Karimov, who on Saturday was buried at the historic cemetery Shakhi-Zinda in Samarkand native. The Russian leader laid to the grave Karimov, red roses and then arrived in the Palace of international forums – the Samarkand residence of the President, where he expressed condolences to the widow Karimova Tatyana and his youngest daughter Lola Karimova-Tillyaeva.

“This country is too important to pass her his attention to two States that have national interests in Central Asia. Without a stable Uzbekistan is not a stable Central Asia”

“To support this way of our mutual development

After that, Putin held talks with Prime Minister Shavkat Mirzieev, who headed the Commission on organization of funeral of Karimov. Acting President of the Republic, under the Constitution, was the Chairman of the upper house of Parliament Nigmatilla Yuldashev. Within three months, must undergo preparations for the election of a new President. In Soviet times happened that the head of the Commission on organization of funeral of General Secretary, later became the new head of the Republic. Thus, the successor to Karimov, Uzbekistan’s elites, it seems, chosen Mirziyoev. Previously, among the possible candidates for the presidency, the experts also called first Vice-Prime Minister for economy Rustam Azimov and the head of the national security Service of Uzbekistan Rustam Inoyatova.

At a meeting with Prime Minister Putin said that the Uzbek people and the leadership of the country can fully rely on Moscow as the most reliable friends. “Of course, very much hope that all that was laid by President Islam Karimov, will continue. We, on the other hand, are doing everything to support the way of our mutual development, to support the Uzbek people, the Uzbek leadership,” Putin said.

He recalled that during the talks, Karimov said that the potential of the Republic depends on the prospects of relations with Russia and “we always appreciate it”. Putin stressed that Russia values its ties with Uzbekistan and thanked Mirziyoyev for the opportunity to visit Samarkand.

Mirziyoev Prime Minister since 2003. It is considered non-public figure, almost never gives interviews and, as complained of Uzbek journalists were forbidden to publish their shots. A formal event Prime Minister held without the participation of journalists.

The relationship with Alisher Usmanov

Mirziyoev was born July 24, 1957 in Zaamin district of Jizzakh region of Uzbekistan (according to another version – he moved there in 1960-e years, and was born in the village Ahtan Hurtubise region of Tajikistan). In 1981 graduated from Tashkent Institute of irrigation and melioration, specialty “engineer-mechanic”. The first ten years he worked in the Alma mater. Started as a Junior researcher, and was promoted to first Vice-rector of the Institute. At the same time received the degree of candidate of technical Sciences.

He started his political career in 1990, elected as a Deputy of the Supreme Council of Uzbekistan. In 1992 became the hokim (head of administration) Mirzo-Ulugbek district of Tashkent, in 1994 was elected to the new Parliament (Oliy Majlis). In 1996, Karimov appointed him Governor of Jizzakh region. In 1999, he was re-elected to the Oliy Majlis of the second convocation from Jizzakh region and retained the mandate until 2004. In 2001 he received the post of khokim of Samarkand region, and in late 2003, the Parliament approved him for the post of Prime Minister on the proposal of Karimov.

Since February 2005 the government official was in charge of agriculture, to monitor the implementation of plans for the production of grain and cotton, which were bought from agricultural workers at a fixed government price.

Note that the probability of the President of Uzbekistan connected with Russia related communications. How wrote the local press, in may 2009, the nephew of the Russian oligarch of Uzbek origin Alisher Usmanov Babur married the niece of the wife Mirziyoyev, the Dieres. Bobur Usmanov was named the only heir on the downlink billion fortune of his influential uncle (in the spring of 2013, he died in a car accident).

Mirziyoev – repeat Karimov

Head of Department of Central Asia and Kazakhstan of Institute of the CIS countries Andrey Grozin believes Mirziyoyev similar to Karimov’s character, life and attitude to many things, as evidenced by his way of life. “It is not a clone of Karimov, but the man is very similar, in many respects, assessing the situation in the country and in the world as well, as did the President,” said Grozin newspaper VIEW.

According to him, Mirziyoev a real handyman, who for many years was engaged in the agricultural sector, and is the Foundation of the Uzbek economy (cotton, food, water). Like Karimov, in power circles in the country Mirziyoyev introduced Ismail Jurabekov, who was the informal leader of the Uzbek SSR, occupied a strong position at the Sharaf Rashidov (fifties via the eighties, was the first Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist party of the Uzbek SSR) and early Islam Karimov.

“Shavkat Mirziyoev still never shined in foreign policy. This handyman. On the one hand, this repetition Karimov, and on the other a figure like Viktor Chernomyrdin (he served as Prime Minister of Russia). This person may be engaged in foreign policy and to lead the country, if the party says,” said Grozin, adding that Mirziyoev 13 years, he held the post of Prime Minister in difficult elite policy that says “on a very high degree of survival, adaptability and adaptability”.

“The victory of the Russian and Eurasian diplomacy”

Valentin Grozin does not expect Mirziyoyev is clearly Pro-Russian position, or roll in some other way. But experts have formed an opinion that this person is satisfied with Beijing and Moscow. He recalled, for Asimov entrenched the role of a Pro-Western policy, and Inoyatov as a former security officer had a serious “outside the roof”. “Today, Mr President represented not only themselves but also the host of the G20 meeting (the President of China, XI). I’m pretty sure that at the meeting of the President with the President of Russia, they somehow touched on the subject of Uzbekistan. This country is too important to pass her his attention to two States that have national interests in Central Asia. Without a stable Uzbekistan is not a stable Central Asia. And without a stable Central Asia will not be successful implementation of Chinese transportation geopolitical mega-projects, nor the Russian integration initiatives,” – said the expert.

Losing Asimov turf fight for the title of successor suggests that the power resource Inoyatova sided Mirziyoyev, adding to its administrative and economic opportunity. “This is a victory for Russian and Eurasian diplomacy. All this talk that someone from the state Department before he met with someone from the Ministry of foreign Affairs of Uzbekistan – it’s all an attempt to save face, to somehow work out the scenarios that were planned in the Washington regional Committee in case of changing leaders in Uzbekistan. Attempts obviously failed,” – says Grozin.

He noted that the Uzbek elite is very tight, and therefore difficult to understand what is going on inside. But, according to rumors, the relationship with Mirziyoev as Asimov “not very good”, but “sweeps, we do not see and the head will not fly”.

“It seems to be a change of government in Ashgabat in 2005. Personal there were almost no victims… In Uzbekistan there are many strong figures, but of repression and large-scale redistributions of the elite will not. All of this will happen, as it did Karimov in the first half of the nineties, when he consolidated power. People who are perceived able to compete have been removed from the political field not once, but gradually and without bloodshed,” predicts Andrei Grozin.


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