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Friday, October 21, 2016

Off the coast of the Pacific ocean Putin to discuss the fate of Ukraine

Host the start of the G20 summit, China expects the forum momentum to revive the global economy. But the format of the event involves not only meeting, but “the game” of world leaders. Vladimir Putin there will be a few. With Angela Merkel and françois Hollande he will discuss the situation in Ukraine. And in conversation with Chinese leader XI Jinping may be affected by the change of power in Uzbekistan.

The summit on Sunday in Hangzhou, China – the first event of this magnitude. To the crowds in the streets did not interfere with hotel guests, authorities simply advised the residents of the 9-million city to leave (as the stick was handed $ 1.5 billion gift travel vouchers), and the taxi drivers are paid subsidies to not appeared on the streets.

“It is clear that Kiev is trying to ignore the situation and pretend that nothing happened, but this does not lead to anything”

From September 1, city officials sent in weeks paid vacation. The same citizens who will still be on the streets during these two days, according to “Kommersant”, it is forbidden to spit on the ground and generally behave inappropriately, violators face a fine.

Pacific rim

The press also reports that the authorities sought not only civil servants, but also migrant workers to leave the city during the summit. Observers joke that Hangzhou has become “the safest place in China.” According to RIA “Novosti”, by the end of July in the city was dismantled, about 615 illegal buildings, standardized road signs, it has multiplied the number of public toilets.

The summit’s theme sounds like “Construction of innovative, healthy, interconnected and inclusive world economy.” China promises to direct my guests to the improvement of the global economy, structural reforms and innovation. The organizers of the event in advance, made against any political debate, especially around the neighbouring Islands of the South China sea. “For the Chinese leadership today the main thing – stability, – said Russian Ambassador in China Andrei Denisov. – Most likely, will discuss the fight against risk, the stabilization of the economic production.”

Political issues will be discussed in bilateral discussions. In particular, great interest the talks with the colleague from the USA Barack Obama. As warned, Putin’s press Secretary Dmitry Peskov, they can discuss the situation in Syria. The last time the presidents met in November of last year on the sidelines of the international conference on climate change in Paris, and before that had used the same format of the Big twenty, which met in November in Antalya (Turkey).

Putin will hold talks with French President Francois Hollande and then with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. As noted, Putin’s aide, Yuri Ushakov, first discussed the possibility of trilateral talks, “to thoroughly discuss the current situation in Ukraine, but German and French side proposed to hold bilateral meetings in which the main theme again will be Ukraine. Recall that due to the recent attempts of the Ukrainian intelligence agencies to sabotage in the Crimea, Vladimir Putin called Normandy format are meaningless.

“Energy dialogue” with the new Iron lady

We also know that Putin will have his first meeting with the new British Prime Minister Theresa may. “We attach great importance to contact, as expected, that will be given is still some impetus to the development of, at least essential of practical contacts between the two countries,” said Ushakov TASS. According to him, the main topics will be the restoration of the mechanisms of communication, particularly dialogue in the format of meetings between representatives of the foreign Ministry and the defense Ministry, the intergovernmental Committee on trade and investment, about the “energy dialogue”.

With the Russian leader would also like to interview: the host of the summit, Chinese President XI Jinping, the presidents of Turkey and Egypt, Erdogan and Abdul-Fattah al-Sisi, the new leader of Argentina Mauricio Macri, the crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman.

Ushakov noted that XI Jinping and Vladimir Putin meet at every international event in which we participate. “Of course, Hangzhou is no exception. Held two rounds of talks – first, the conversation in the expanded format, the delegations, and then the discussion in a narrow format,” – said Ushakov.

Political analyst Sergei Mikheyev said that the talks, XI and Putin will be discussed, including the situation in Uzbekistan. “In fact, uncertainty in Uzbekistan scares the Chinese. They have invested in the Republic quite a lot of money. It’s a piece of their project “new silk road”. They just fear the instability that could be rebounded in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous region”, – said Mikheyev newspaper VIEW.

The expert is sure what to expect from the talks between the two leaders next breakthrough in bilateral relations is unlikely, because “to break even on the bottom”. “All the declarations about partnership sounded. And specific projects depend on the economic situation. There are problems at the negotiations on the second Western branch of the pipeline. But they are related to the fact that the reduced growth rate of consumption in China,” he said.

Meanwhile great hopes on the summit, lays far from Kiev, President Petro Poroshenko, in which China was not invited. He called for discussion there, “the issue of Russian aggression against Ukraine.” According to the Minister of foreign Affairs of Ukraine Pavlo Klimkin, aggression remains a “fundamental challenge to this stability, so I certainly expect Ukraine will be, even informally, on the agenda”.

Assistant Professor of political theory at MGIMO Kirill Koktysh is sure that after the Crimean incident bistro no progress in the peace process in Ukraine should not wait.

“The Russian position was clearly marked by Putin’s statement. The statement was made not in order to the next day to pretend that these statements were not. Kiev is trying to ignore the situation and pretend that nothing happened, but it came to nothing lead,” said Koktysh of the newspaper LOOK. He stressed that the lack of negotiations on Ukraine, the Ukrainian leader eloquently. “Without clarification, without having to have any clarity, it is unlikely the “Norman format” will automatically be restored”, – the expert emphasizes.

With regard to the outcome of the actual summit, Koktysh said initially, “twenty” gathered with the aim to gain control over the institutions of global financial governance.

“It was about the fact that the US monopoly in the International monetary Fund will be interpreted and diluted by other shareholders. This did not happen. However, no radical solution to the economic crisis mechanically did not happen. It is clear that sooner or later the question arises about how to develop or rethink the principles of the world economy, which still worked but was clearly exhausted its potential. This question can only be resolved politically, there are negotiations. Close to this G20 now? I do not know. Too many differences. But sooner or later the question will arise,” said Kirill Koktysh.


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