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Thursday, March 15, 2018

Nazarbayev gave a strange signal to Poroshenko, Putin said nothing

The meeting of Vladimir Putin with Nursultan Nazarbayev clearly did not pull on sensation. Only this year the two leaders met at least three times and a few times talked on the phone. It would seem all the favorite themes from the parameters of the trade to the development of the Eurasian integration should be long exhausted. However, recent events – in particular, reconciliation between Russia and Turkey – filled routine visit with a new meaning.

photo: Alexander Astafyev

Last week, the newspaper Hurriyett gave a diplomatic “secret”: it turns out that the President of Kazakhstan was the main mediator in the negotiations between Moscow and Ankara, and has done a lot to ensure that this reconciliation has taken place. According to journalists, during the St. Petersburg economic forum, Nazarbayev managed to convince Putin to accept a letter of apology from Erdogan. Then he read personally trained diplomats and translators of the Russian version of the message. And finally, organized the transfer through the assistant GDP Yuri Ushakov, the SCO summit in Uzbekistan.

Hurriyett as well as the rest of the Turkish media after a coup attempt is under tight state control, a special occasion to doubt the validity of the stated facts there. And Erdogan himself has already publicly thanking Nazarbayev for mediation in the settlement of the Russian-Turkish crisis. “My friend had a lot of talks with President Putin in a difficult period, when we have with Russia soured relations, and made a great contribution to fix them,” said the Turkish leader, at a joint press conference with his Kazakh counterpart in Ankara on 5 August. By the way, for this visit, which occurred the day before the crucial meeting between Erdogan and Putin in St. Petersburg, Nursultan Nazarbayev also was no apparent reason – since the end of April when he last visited Turkey in the bilateral agenda, it is unlikely that anything has changed dramatically.

Russian scientists and experts predicted in advance that the main keynote of the visit Nazarbayev in Sochi will be the restoration of Russian-Turkish relations and the prospects that it opens for Kazakhstan, the Eurasian integration and the entire region. They were right, but not completely. Putin, indeed, after Erdogan thanked the guest for his diplomatic efforts. “Your mediation is successful. We are very eager to restore full relations with friendly Turkey”, – said the GDP before the beginning of negotiations in the “Bocharov stream”, stressing the unique character of many years of Russian-Turkish friendship. According to the President, erdoğan’s recent visit to Russia confirmed the “mutual intention” not just to restore the old relationship and communication, but also to bring them to a higher level.

In that conflict, we strictly adhered to the position of Russia, assured Nazarbayev – But with them (the Turks), we also have a connection. And if it was my help, then I think it is good.

– Yes, it’s true, ” agreed Putin.

However, this mediating role of the President of Kazakhstan, apparently, not the end. Inspired by the success of one mission, he seems to have taken over another. And perhaps not one. It is only in the post-Soviet space there are at least two hot spots – Ukraine and Nagorno-Karabakh. “I try to engage whenever possible” – modestly said Nazarbayev.

Recently I was called by Poroshenko, “he said, glancing at Putin,” And said that to accept the status (the status law, which the Kremlin insists) Donbass and the other Republic, which there is not – he has no majority in the Parliament. Such statements, in the opinion of the President of Kazakhstan, shows the commitment Poroshenko to compromise in the settlement of the situation in the South-East of Ukraine. But unfortunately, not all of his power.

Vladimir Putin listened to this confession with an indifferent face. And to the disappointment of journalists have left it without comment. In his speech he traditionally has focused on the Russian-Kazakhstan relations: euroopat reduced – need to discuss how to stop the decline. Experienced in the Byzantine intricacies of the Nazarbayev understood everything correctly and to insist he did not. Moreover, the application for a new mediation mission, he has already done… Now the ball is on the other side.

The Ukrainian crisis. Chronicle of events

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