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Tuesday, October 25, 2016

In a situation with appointment of the Ambassador of Russia in Kiev introduced a new word in the history of diplomacy

The situation with the appointment of the new Ambassador of Russia in Ukraine is developing according to the formula “neither peace nor war.” Kiev did not agree to accept the candidacy of Mikhail Babich, and not refused – Ministry of foreign Affairs of Ukraine has removed the question from the agenda”, making thus a new word in the history of diplomacy. Poroshenko went partly to about the radicals that requires a break with the “aggressor”, but will it be beneficial for Ukraine itself?

Ukraine withdrew from the agenda the issue of the appointment of the Ambassador of Russia, said Deputy foreign Minister of Ukraine on European integration Elena serkal. This occurred at the initiative of the Ukrainian side, she said.

“Moscow has realized that directing Babic here, it creates a problem for Poroshenko: he has to give agrément, and not to give bad. And here they put him, which is just nonsense”

The failure of Kiev to consider the appointment of a new Ambassador will not affect Ukraine’s relations with Russia, said the mirror, apparently referring to the ultimate deterioration of relations. “We also limited the possibilities of normal operation in the Russian Federation”, – said the Deputy head of the Ukrainian foreign Ministry, adding that “the role of the previous Ambassador of the Russian Federation (Mikhail Zurabov) in the formation of relationships was minimal.”

As explained earlier, the press Secretary of the President Dmitry Peskov, Russia has the right to nominate Ambassador to Ukraine, as Kiev has the sovereign right to disagree with this candidate, in this case, it is possible to offer alternative candidates.

On 29 July the state Duma Committee on international Affairs recommended the candidacy of presidential envoy in Volga Federal district Mikhail Babich to the post of Ambassador of Russia in Kiev. Later the press Secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov told journalists that Moscow has asked Kiev’s prior consent (agrément) on the appointment of Mikhail Babich, the new Ambassador of Russia to Ukraine. A day earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree on the release of Mikhail Zurabov from the post of Russian Ambassador to Ukraine and appointed chargé d’affaires of Russia in Ukraine Sergey Toropov.

“It’s impossible to interpret”

“What do you mean Ukraine was removed from the agenda, refused approval, or even thinks? It is impossible to interpret. We need this girl to ask what she meant,” – said the newspaper LOOK Director of the Kiev center of political researches and conflictology Mikhail Pogrebinsky. “Moscow has realized that directing Babic here, it creates a problem for Poroshenko: he has to give agrément, and not to give bad. And here they put him, which is just nonsense. There is no such diplomatic response “removed from the agenda the question of whether or not you accept the agrement or denied,” – said the expert.

The wording “at the initiative of the Ukrainian side” indicates the meaning that was trying to get the Deputy Minister. “We want to refuse agrément, but we hesitate to say this, because we are miserable, miserable people”, – said the source.

The Deputy Director of the Institute of CIS countries Vladimir Zharikhin in comments the newspaper VIEW also wondered the logic of the Ukrainian authorities.

“Or you give your approval, or give, or break off diplomatic relations, then the agrement of the question. And here neither one nor the CoE: “We just consider it won’t!” the expert noted. – Ukraine the and nice that it makes new developments in all the traditional aspects of the relationship between the two countries – our own understanding of diplomatic rules, our own understanding of meeting the obligations under the signed agreements”.

Zharikhin believes that Kiev “does not want the Ambassador: “They said that they have a claim specifically to Babich. They said they do not intend to consider nominations”. Previously, experts predicted the newspaper VIEW that Kiev will be possible to delay the issuance of the approval because no interest to the Russian Embassy to work in full force.

Ukraine increases the distance

If Ukraine refuses to give approval, Moscow would not nominate another candidate, says Mikhail Pogrebinsky. Then the diplomatic presence of Russia will be limited to the level of chargé d’affaires.

“It will mean that Ukraine deliberately lowers the level of representation in diplomatic relations between our countries, – said the expert. – She has a lot of problems. The higher the level, the shorter way of solving problems.”

Now, if the user wants to solve any problem, then there is a race Ambassador can go directly to Lavrov, and Lavrov – Putin, then as chargé d’affaires should go first to the Deputy of Lavrov, etc., said Pogrebinsky.

Vladimir Zharikhin believes that the decrease in the level of representation will hinder the activities of the Russian Embassy, which, after “Board” the last Ambassador is, to put it mildly, not the best condition.” On the question, will this affect relations between Russia and Ukraine, the political analyst said: “what could be worse!”.

As noted by Pogrebinsky, the rejection of representation at the level of Ambassador will not only create diplomatic and political problems. “Now, for example, in Ukraine there are coal anthracite for a couple of weeks. If it is not immediately decided, will begin rolling blackouts. In these cases come to the Ambassador. And now it turns out that in addition as a special envoy of the President of Ukraine for humanitarian Affairs in Minsk the contact group) of Viktor Medvedchuk quick solutions do not” – said the analyst.

“Kiev Purfleet radicals”

The first Deputy head of the Duma Committee on international Affairs Leonid Kalashnikov, commenting “off the agenda”, noted that the Ukrainian government about the radicals.

Kiev went down this path not due to the fact that they have a claim to the candidacy of Mr. Babic, in this case “we are talking about what they don’t want no Ambassador,” said Kalashnikov, who was quoted by RIA “Novosti”.

“They thus potreplyut some radicals, which generally require the rupture of diplomatic relations with Russia. In this regard, as they believe that they are in a state of war, decided to take advantage of the situation with the recall of the Ambassador previous to not to appoint a new,” – said the Deputy. However, Kalashnikov recalled that the appointment of an Ambassador is the prerogative of the country that receives it.

Mikhail Pogrebinsky also believes that the Ukrainian leadership in this case has gone on about the radical forces. In his opinion, “the President would like to take this agrement. But he’s afraid of ora, which will raise in Parliament, because of polyelement want to declare war on Russia. And to take the agreman, but how is it?”.

“It would be a relevant head, he would have said, “I don’t Care about the screams and the cries of radicals. Russia is a million Ukrainian citizens there are a million questions, economic and other, we can’t solve, we need the highest level of representation” – said the expert.

“Otherwise, the chief said, “I don’t want to say no, but I can’t give the approval because these will raise the PR, but I’m afraid of them. Because they are loose, come to the court directly in camouflage and said that if the judge so decides, it will not find” – said the expert. – So, no, he has no control over these guys. While interior Minister Arsen Avakov decides what is right who is marginal,” said the analyst. He recalled a recent statement Avakov that the marginal Donald trump. “And who is Avakov? Is the Minister of the interior, incidental people trapped in this place” – ironically said the analyst.

The silence of the West and the duality of the USA

The West is clearly gave to understand that to put pressure on Ukraine will not, said Pogrebinsky. “They understand that Ukraine is responsible for the fact that she is a part is not performing, and non-public talking about it. And when they come out to the press conference, said that while Russia… the Minsk process is not moving, we sanctions will not take” – said the expert. “The Europe situation is good, but it was not a big war” – said the source.

In the USA the situation is different: the current White house administration does not need a big war, which means, “another nightmare defeat of the Ukrainian side” is also not needed. “This is contrary to the interests of Barack Obama, who wanted to leave not a complete defeatist foreign policy. But, on the other hand, no matter what it is Obama, it is important to add points in the election campaign Hillary Clinton,” – said the analyst. And it is convenient to have provoked a new outbreak of the conflict, two days would be taken, for example, Mariupol. Then Clinton can say: “I warned you, how to deal with Putin, see what he’s doing, so vote for me, if you vote for Donald trump Putin tomorrow Lithuania with Warsaw will take,” – said the expert.

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