As previously reported by “MK”, state Secretary – Deputy Minister of foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Grigory Karasin has found it necessary to warn the ambassadors of Germany and France about the increase in activity of power structures of Ukraine along the contact line with the breakaway people’s republics of Donbass. A senior Russian diplomat afraid of the official military units and volunteer battalions on the position of the DNI and LC. The implementation of such a scenario, Karasin is convinced, will lead to destabilization in the region.
photo: Natalia Gubernatorova
Last week, similar concerns were raised by the Ukrainian side. In particular, the expert of the Razumkov Center on international security and foreign policy Alexei Miller said: “a Mass attack of troops of the Russian Federation in the Donbas is highly likely in the near future and the reasons for such fears good enough”. According to Mr. Miller, “the Russian military” are increasingly using the Minsk agreements prohibited weapons; and, besides, both sides almost every day get closer (and not in a good way – ed.). Another reason for a possible large-scale offensive, the expert called “the international context, encourage them to further confrontation”.
Fortunately, not everything is so pessimistic assessments of what is happening in the East of Ukraine.
The head of the Munich security conference Wolfgang Ischinger has suggested today in a pretty good prediction about the Donbass. Contributed to its embodiment in life will be de the spectacular final chord of an 8-year presidency… Barack Obama. According to the Ischinger, in order to help create “the political legacy of Obama” in the form of the end of the conflict in the Donbas, all countries-participants of the Minsk process configured to primaluce” on forthcoming elections in the territory of LNR and DNR (crossed for a good cause the adoption by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine of necessary changes in its legislation). By the end of the second term of the Obama administration will increase the role of the OSCE. A plan for “achieving significant progress in the East of Ukraine,” Ischinger promises, may be ready by early September.
“We need a full and detailed plan for all three elements of the “Minsk”: the military part (which is now not working as before the shoot and do not follow the rules of the diversion of arms), political (that is to say, the Ukrainian part, which must be acceptable to the Russians), and finally, we need a clear plan for the third part – the withdrawal of Russian to Ukraine was finally able again to control its border,” – said Ischinger.
Meanwhile, Ukraine continues to arm. So, its Ambassador to the United States Valeriy Chaly in yesterday’s interview to the Ukrainian edition of Radio Liberty recalled received the other day from overseas a large batch of counter-battery radars wide range. For radars, according to Chaly, followed by American drones, some “means of protection, communication, and other modern defence equipment, which will spike our capabilities lethal weapons really enhance the combat capability of our armed forces.”
Ukraine’s Ambassador to the US also hinted at the possibility of a successful Barack Obama talks with President Petro Poroshenko within Warsaw the day after the NATO summit regarding us provided for in the budget of $50 million on lethal weapons for Ukraine. The white House, as you know, still did not dare to put Kiev “Javelin” and other coveted “toys” for fear that the latest developments of the American military-industrial complex will immediately be “the enemy”.
Verkhovna Rada Deputy, in the past its speaker (2002-2006 and 2008-2012), Vladimir Lytvyn:
– In Ukraine today is very strong “war party”. Its members require the indispensable continuation of the war, that the order in the Donbas was imposed by force. It is unlikely that they do not understand that it is impossible or it would lead to huge losses among the personnel of the Ukrainian troops. There is also a large group of people interested in undertaking a full war in a very substantial personal profits, by definition, impossible in peacetime. As in the famous thesis that “to whom war and to whom mother is native”. Another reason for the desire of the authorities to continue the war is that, referring to it, they are forcing people to endure. If there was no war, people are asking questions about the shock of the price escalation in the cost of gas, electricity, hot and cold water, not be terminated so abruptly as it is now: “what do you mean, fell from the moon? The war is coming! We are all for the front, everything for victory ought to do!”. Here these components also are pushing to continue the present impasse in the Donbass in General and in the Minsk process in particular. In my opinion, this process currently does not solve anything. You know perfectly well: there are to only to talk; the installation of concrete steps to the negotiators do not give. The more that the Ukrainian government is much more afraid of armed men (including the volunteer battalions) than those whom we call “separatists”.Related posts: