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Thursday, December 8, 2016

Recognition by the German Bundestag of the Armenian genocide will cause a new flow of migrants


Resolution of the German Bundestag on the recognition of the mass killings of Armenians in the Ottoman Empire as genocide risks triggering another migration crisis in Europe in July this year. Such concerns with “MK” shared the Deputy Director of the Institute of Europe RAS Vladislav Belov, who also predicted the wave of mass protests in the FRG this week.


photo: AP

“Definitely, firstly, the expected deterioration of the situation in Germany in terms of protests – says “MK” on the possible consequences of the resolution, Vladislav Belov. – After all the community of German citizens of Turkish origin has around 4 million Plus should be considered Turkish citizens located in Germany. The Armenian community in Germany is minimal – unlike in France. The Turkish community has its members in all parties, who certainly voted against the resolution. Surely right-wing forces will take the opportunity of the attack to such demonstrations. It is possible to predict clashes with the police, we can predict that radical movements will be recorded in the asset additional supporters. Probably, the party “Alternative for Germany” will receive additional followers.

Also this is a clear reason and argument for the Turkish government to withdraw from the agreement with the EU in March of this year and to remove controls at their borders, practically opening the door for illegal migrants, opening the corridor to Europe. We can predict that this decision will cause, or part of that in July we will see another wave of migrants. Europe is ready for this. Nevertheless, the resolution of the Bundestag is a significant irritant for Turkey’s deteriorating relations with Germany. Angela Merkel had nothing to do. She is merely head of government, not the state”.

According to the interlocutor of “MK”, momentum for the adoption of such a document has become a domestic and foreign political situation. “Apparently, the situation in and around Turkey, including the problem associated with the Syrian crisis and migration flow probably prompted German society and the political establishment, representing the interests of the electorate in the lower house of the German Parliament, to put this issue on the agenda, – said Vladislav Belov. – The assessment of this issue was determined one hundred percent the deterioration of relations between official Ankara and official Berlin. It is clear that Merkel did not initiate this question. She was not interested in this and promised to do everything to ensure that the situation in these difficult weeks in relations between the EU and Turkey was intensified. Ankara Prime Minister expressed his resentment during Merkel’s visit. It is the emergency Commissioner, a politician who is trying to settle the situation in terms of the unwillingness of Turkey to carry the weight of the conditions that were presented to her in terms of removing visa-free regime.

Turkey was and still is not ready to amend anti-terror laws and return to accepted democratic norms of interaction between government and civil society, the reluctance to admit the desire for centralization of power in the hands of one person, who holds the post of President. Merkel tried to maneuver between Scylla and Charybdis, but, apparently, pass failed. She initially stated that she will be absent during the vote in the Bundestag, showing his attitude”.

Recall that on Thursday, June 2, the German Bundestag adopted a resolution which classifies the mass destruction of Armenians in the Ottoman Empire in 1915-1916 as genocide. The joint draft resolution submitted by the parliamentary groups of the CDU/CSU, the SPD and “green” was approved by a majority of deputies. The resolution calls on the German government “to continue to promote wide public discussion of the expulsion and almost total annihilation of Armenians in 1915-16, and the role of the German Empire in these events”.

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