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Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Russia may offer Japan more than Islands

Relations between Russia and Japan are now going through a critical phase. In the increasingly complex geopolitical situation, both countries are trying to find ways of normalising relations. The visit to Tokyo of the state Duma speaker Sergei Naryshkin and Sergei Lavrov’s statement shows that Moscow is Japan the same as Germany – to stop being satellites.

An unexpected meeting with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe with state Duma speaker Sergei Naryshkin on the eve of the departure of the Russian delegation from Tokyo itself was an important sign because a few days before that press Secretary Naryshkin denied the possibility of a meeting. Tokyo does not want to antagonize Washington and their contacts with Moscow – especially since Abe has recently made an important visit to the United States.

“Russia is ready to discuss with Japan her claim – not on site, and real sovereignty”

Although Abe a few years ago, said improving relations with Russia one of the main goals of his tenure as Prime Minister, the Ukrainian crisis and the attempt to blockade Russia from the United States greatly complicated the process of normalization of relations. If last February, Abe could not afford to be the one of the leaders of the countries “big seven” who came to the opening of the Olympics, then after a few months Tokyo was forced to postpone the visit of Putin, which had high hopes. The Japanese almost did not hide that he did this under pressure from Washington – Japan remains essentially a country of limited geopolitical sovereignty, lost after the defeat in world war II and the occupation of the country by the Americans. But in these circumstances, Japan tried to minimize the losses from joining anti-Russian sanctions – resisting to the best of American pressure and feeding the signals Moscow’s desire to maintain a dialogue.

The arrival in Tokyo Naryshkin has become an important element of the response to the work of the Russia – speaker of the state Duma is actively involved in Russian-Japanese relations and in General work with Japan. It is significant that in recent times Naryshkin had repeatedly referred to the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki a crime against humanity.

In Tokyo understand that Naryshkin actually became an authorized Putin to Japan, and realize that the head of the Russian historical society is in the circle of the closest associates of the President of Russia. It is no coincidence that former Prime Minister and the informal head of the Russophile party in the nation, Yoshiro Mori, met recently with Naryshkin, specifically said that he advised Prime Minister Abe “have to think” about the possibility of meeting with “a great friend of President Putin.” As it turned out Thursday, Abe not only agreed with his predecessor, but also called for the development of relations between the two countries. The message opened in Tokyo of the Russian-Japanese forum “common ground: business, investment, sport, Japanese Prime Minister wrote:

“I am full of desire, from the strategic and long-term perspective, to raise relations between our countries to a new level. Russia is an important neighbor of Japan, and the development of friendly relations is the key to maintaining stability and prosperity in East Asia in the twenty-first century… We will vigorously negotiate to resolve the territorial issue and concluding a peace Treaty. And at the same time to strengthen relations on a wide spectrum that includes economy, energy, security, culture and sport”.

A word about the territorial dispute reminiscent of the key problem in bilateral relations – confidence of Japan that Russia needs her. Four of the Kuril Islands in Japan continues to believe its already 70 years not recognizing Russian sovereignty over them. Recently the Minister of foreign Affairs Sergey Lavrov in the most specific form indicated on the inferiority of the Japanese position:

“We always ask the Japanese: “Lord, you outcome of the Second world war, acknowledge?” They answer: “In General, Yes, but here in this matter – no”. But how do you then ratified the UN Charter? There is article 107, which says: everything that made the victorious powers, sacred and inviolable. Let other words, but the legal point is this – do not touch anything… And here they can not argue anything, and we can say that Japan is the only country that questioned the results of the Second world war.

The statement that Japan is questioning the results of world war II, acquires a special meaning in the year of the 70th anniversary of her graduation. Russia gives to understand Japan, its requirement is not feasible, moreover, it is actually attached to one of the main criticisms of China in the address of the former island Empire.

Beijing accuses Tokyo is constantly striving to challenge the results of world war II, the attempted revival of the spirit of militarism and lack of remorse for crimes against China. And in the capture of native Chinese Islands of the archipelago Diaoyu Islands (Senkaku), which the Japanese stole from the Chinese in the late 19th century (and the Americans who took them in after world war II, and later returned them to Tokyo).

For Abe, who has taken the course to review by far the defensive functions of the Japanese armed forces (“self defense forces”) and giving Japan greater geopolitical independence, the cold war with China is extremely unpleasant. Last November, however, the first two years contact at the highest level – on the sidelines of an international summit in Beijing, met XI Jinping and Abe, but I had to see the face of the Chinese leader when he held out his hand to the Japanese to shake hands. Japan has territorial problems with all major neighbours, except China and Russia and the two Koreas – she oluwasola defense and foreign policy dependence on the United States. To put it mildly, the country is in a very difficult geopolitical situation.

The rise of China and the perception of Japan as an unsinkable aircraft carrier of their main geopolitical rival, the United States, puts Tokyo in front of a difficult choice. Which is further aggravated by increasingly thorough a strategic rapprochement between Russia and China is only Japan tried to weaken its dependence on the US, as the very development of the international situation pushes her back into the suffocating embrace of the global hegemon. Need something to do – and perhaps not the best option for Tokyo is the improvement of relations with Moscow.

Russia is not against – but not at the expense of territorial concessions. And, of course, not at the expense of Russian-Chinese partnership. We have with Japan, there are many mutually beneficial topics – primarily the economic and trade. But there are two main obstacles are tightly intertwined.

Firstly, the Islands, and secondly, the dependence Tokyo from Washington. They are intertwined because the US is actively pressuring sick Japanese island corn – to how to prevent a Russo-Japanese rapprochement and wanting to put Russia and not themselves, a major violator of Japanese sovereignty. Meanwhile, the real damage to the national pride of the great Japanese nation gets a vassal of the US, not the loss of the four Islands.

Similarly, the United States warmed up and the issue of the Chinese threat to Japan is essentially non-existent. China only played for a century of national humiliation when Western countries, and especially Japan, had done to him all that he wanted. Reconciliation with Russia can make an important contribution to easing Japanese-Chinese contradictions – of course, provided that Tokyo will gradually become more independent, distancing himself from American policy of containment of China. Sino-Japanese conflict impossible to remove completely but they can be substantially weakened in the triangle Beijing – Moscow – Tokyo, if the Japanese can take it the position is really independent and not dependent on the overseas player’s hand.

In fact, Russia calls on Japan the same as Germany – to finish with the main consequence of the Second world war to restore full independence. Both these countries lost it and fell under the occupation and control of the United States. 70 years later this influence, of course, weakened but remote control is still far from disappeared. As a result, both countries become pawns in the game that the US is waging to preserve its global domination. Germany is already beginning to understand that we should not covet the Ukrainian black earth. Here and Japan should finally realize that the Kuril Islands is the minimum charge for normal relations with Russia, without which the country will never recover their independence.

In the end, it’s not that we bombed Hiroshima, wrote the colonial Constitution was introduced alien to the spirit of Yamato liberal standards. And not our bases located in Japan – so it is not Moscow stands in the way of revival of greatness of the Japanese nation. If Abe this year will dare to take Putin to Tokyo, this fundamental question can be discussed in detail – and isn’t absurd “territorial claims”. Of course, if Japan really intended to once again become self-sufficient great power.

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