Vladimir Putin this year has not made even a single foreign visit, however, the Kremlin insisted that talks about the isolation of the Russian leader is not baseless. On Friday in Sochi arrives Shinzo Abe is rumored to be Barack Obama unsuccessfully tried to persuade the Japanese Prime Minister to refrain from this trip, not to send encouraging signals to Moscow.
One of the main topics of talks are expected to be a disputed territory and the signing of a peace agreement, but immediate progress” none of the parties is not waiting. In addition, it is still not clear whether Abe to finally announce the date of Putin’s visit to Japan, which can not take place in 2013.
In Moscow and Tokyo strongly emphasize that Abe’s visit is informal. Japanese Prime Minister will come to Russia, returning from his European tour, and will stay only half a day on a schedule negotiations will begin no earlier than 15.00 GMT.
In turn, Putin takes Abe in the Kremlin, and in his black sea residence of Bocharov Ruchei: the sound of the waves and the cries of seagulls create a more favourable atmosphere for inter-faith dialogue than the steps of the main calculations and the chiming clock. “The working status of the visit does not involve signing documents and a joint release to the press,” — says Russian presidential aide Yuri Ushakov. But leaders will have the opportunity to stay tete-a-tete and talk, that is, heart-to-heart. “We need to sit down and finally solve the issues related to the peace Treaty,” he said, going to Europe, Abe.
Experts point out that the Japanese Prime Minister has not only political but also personal reasons to force a discussion of controversial issues — especially on the Kuril Islands. His father Shintaro Abe, who was in the beginning 90-h years a post of the head of the Japanese foreign Ministry, was the main organizer of the visit of Mikhail Gorbachev in Tokyo.
“Shintaro Abe was already ill with cancer, but got up from his hospital bed for the sake of meeting with the Soviet leader, proclaimed the “new political thinking”. This is an indication of how these issues are important not only for Japan but also personally for Shinzo Abe” — said the head of the Center for Japanese studies, Institute of Far Eastern studies Valery Kistanov.
However, in the current situation the “new political thinking” should show in the first place, Abe himself. Russia will never agree to give Japan all four Islands of the Kuril ridge — Iturup, Kunashir, Shikotan and Hamalai, which became part of the Soviet Union following the Second world war. The discussion shall be subject only to intermediate options for resolving the conflict — the division of territories between the parties or the joint development and management of disputed areas.
In 2012, Putin has already hinted at the possibility of compromise, saying that Russia and Japan should accept “hikiwake” — the so-called “draw” in martial arts. But then Tokyo was not ready to compromise on principles. “Let’s see what Abe will say this time,” — said in the Kremlin. However, “immediate progress” to the “top” are not waiting. “The topic requires rigorous, continuous and consistent work at the expert level”, — told reporters the President’s press Secretary Dmitry Peskov. According to Ushakov, the Russian side will offer to the Japanese to discuss in detail the problem of the disputed territories and concluding a peace Treaty at the level of the foreign ministries of the two countries in June.
In addition, in the Kremlin expect that Abe will finally announce the date of the alleged visit of Vladimir Putin to Japan. “The invitation was received in 2013, we accepted it. But then he Tokyo time repeatedly endured. The question still remains in limbo, as no specific proposals we received,” says Ushakov. In 2014, the visit did not take place because of the situation around Ukraine. In 2015 on Tokyo pressured the United States, but now Abe is determined to break free from the control of “big brother”. “It is not satisfied that the other members of the “Big seven” continue to maintain relations with the Russian President, and he is excommunicated from these important for Japan contacts” — explain in the Kremlin.
Japanese media believe that Abe will definitely make Putin an offer he can’t refuse. According to them, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe invited the Russian President to his home in Yamaguchi Prefecture on Honshu island — visit, part of which may be held in the already half-forgotten the format “without ties”, should be held before the end of the year.Related posts: