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Wednesday, October 18, 2017

The failure to elect a new Premier will cost Ukraine


While the main candidate for Prime Minister of Ukraine Volodymyr Groysman and associates of ex-Prime Minister are negotiating for Ministerial posts, the Odessa Governor Mikhail Saakashvili an ultimatum to President Petro Poroshenko and urged the Parliament not to vote for “oligarchic government”. “Right sector” went further, threatening a “bullet to the head” the head of state.

The MPs expect the Parliament will vote for the resignation of Arseniy Yatsenyuk on Tuesday, thus ending the collapse of the Executive. The country’s President Petro Poroshenko holds a meeting with his faction, which discusses the new composition of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, reports RIA “Novosti”.

“Not appointment the new Prime Minister has on ratings of Poroshenko shows his weakness and chaos in the political system”

Preparations for the appointment of the new Prime Minister of Ukraine after the announced resignation of Yatsenyuk is cluttered with contradictory details. On Tuesday, Dmitry Stolyarchuk, press Secretary for speaker of the Verkhovna Rada (and the main contender for the post of Prime Minister) Vladimir Groisman, said: the Parliament agreed on all Ministers of the future government. “Groisman managed to defend the core of the reformist in the new government,” Stolyarchuk wrote in his Twitter.

Yesterday the Deputy from Pro-presidential faction “Block of Petro Poroshenko” Mustafa Nayem “throwing” a message that Groysman refused to head the future government. “According to him, the current speaker of Parliament did not want to go to work in the Cabinet that the negotiations were not fulfilled its conditions,” – said the Internet edition “Ukrainian truth”, referring to the Deputy.

Who breaks an agreement?

As reported TASS, later Nayem explained: disagreements arose over the post of first Deputy Prime Minister, proposed the protege Poroshenko – Deputy head of the administration of Ukrainian President Vitaly Kovalchuk. Note that back in January, Poroshenko tried to “push” Kovalchuk to the government of Yatsenuk for the post of Vice-Premier in charge of the economy. Against the appointment of then Kovalchuk spoke strongly of the Kiev mayor Vitali Klitschko, who soured relations with Kovalchuk.

Apparently, now the obstacles set by the faction “Popular front” – the party of Yatsenyuk. Supporters of the now former Prime Minister, though, and agreed to be “Block Poroshenko” a new coalition, are in a bitter bargaining. At stake is the preservation of “the front” Arsen Avakov portfolio of interior Minister, several Ministerial positions and the post of speaker, claimed by another member of the same party of Yatsenyuk, Andriy Parubiy.

The popular front has performed all agreements with “Petro Poroshenko’s Block”: the resignation of Yatsenyuk, and the fraction of “Popular front” is ready to remain in the coalition with the Prime Minister from “Blok Petro Poroshenko”. Disruption arrangements to the government, is due to problems of the candidate from “Blok Petro Poroshenko” faction “Block of Petro Poroshenko” – wrote on his page in Facebook MP from the “Popular front” Victoria syumar. – Now we have to immediately require from our partners a new candidate for the post of Prime Minister and information on the composition of the coalition. Or waiting for the proposals for nomination and composition of the new government from other democratic forces.”

As reported TASS with reference to the Ukrainian media, the “Block Poroshenko” quickly looking for replacement candidates for the post of Prime Minister. In particular, according to the edition “Left coast”, Poroshenko offered the position of chief of government, Secretary of the NSDC Oleksandr Turchynov, but he refused. The same proposal, according to the publication, did the leader of the faction PPO Yuriy Lutsenko.

“With this power or without it!”

Government reshuffle in Kiev gave rise to Mikhail Saakashvili to make another loud statement is now actually talking about the Odessa Governor’s ultimatum to President Poroshenko.

“We don’t intend to wait, we will change this system or with this power, or without it!” – wrote in his Facebook, the former leader of the “revolution of roses”, viewsize role in Ukrainian public policy. The Governor has threatened: if Kiev does not fulfill the requirements, the “reformers” leave occupied state posts and form their own team – which will go “to change everything in the country is the fastest in a constitutional way”.

“We are tired of waiting and hearing empty promises, while the old corrupt system step by step, takes revenge,” wrote Saakashvili and listed their demands. They focused on the actual Odessa region (to remove from office the chief Prosecutor of the region Nikolay Stoyanov – “separatist and henchman of the oligarchs” – and to initiate criminal proceedings against the mayor of Odessa Gennady Trukhanov – also “separatist”), and nationwide Affairs.

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The Governor of the Odessa region Mikhail Saakashvili, known for his love of beautiful young women. As President of Georgia, Saakashvili appointed favorite girls to important positions. This practice he continued in Odessa, where his Deputy, 26-year-old blue-eyed activist Julia Marushevska, caused a stir on YouTube, became the chief of the Odessa customs”to Form a government of national trust without dogovornyakov, the government, which will trust the Ukrainians”, – Saakashvili demanded.

Moreover, the Odessa Governor urged the Verkhovna Rada not to vote for the appointment of the new government. “We demand to stop this cabal and dogovornyak, which is about the government… In such conditions, which offer, want to sell Ukraine government, which is incompetent, corrupt and serve the oligarchic clans”, – Saakashvili said.

Interestingly, Saakashvili attributed the dismissal of Yatsenyuk himself and his “anti-corruption campaign” and goes to “assaults” on Poroshenko. “Once Yatsenyuk took in the fact that we have deployed throughout Ukraine anti-corruption movement, is not the solution. The problem is not only Yatsenyuk. The problem is the political class and the problem is the approach of the President of Ukraine to the processes within the country and to the reform process”, – said the head of the Odessa region.

Pressure and blackmail

Director of the Ukrainian Institute of analysis and management policy Ruslan Bortnik, the analyst associates the “stuffing” Mustafa Nayem and an ultimatum to Saakashvili. “You have to understand that Mustafa Nayem is an active member of the “party Saakashvili,” who has already made quite tough statements, the ultimatum to the President and his team,” said the political scientist, in comments the newspaper VIEW. Actions. – “this is part of the informational attack of the Saakashvili team, which aims as a maximum Saakashvili as Prime Minister of Ukraine, at least representatives of the team of Saakashvili in the government in Ministerial positions”, – the expert believes.

Bortnik not inclined to believe the disclaimers Groisman, although the problems in the negotiations were. “Groysman threatened to refuse the appointment of the Prime Minister, if not satisfied with its staffing requirements. Was mutual blackmail,” said the source.

Groisman thus “knocked out of quota places for their people.” “He understands the risk to be in the role Yatsenyuk, when members of the government or not its people or under the influence of a very weak Prime Minister”, – said the expert. He reminded that Yatsenyuk in his government there were only four Ministers, and the rest either were not under his influence or under the influence of weak.

As Ukrainian oligarchs eat Ukraineukrainian does not want to repeat the fate of Yatsenyuk, the source specified.

Poroshenko in this situation, forced to make concessions, because the discussion is about the presidential chair. “Pustaka Yatsenyuk and not appointment of a new Prime Minister has on the ratings of the President inside the country, shows his weakness and chaos in the political system, and also shows the West that Poroshenko is not doing its political system”, – concluded the expert.

“Deeper into crisis”

Western partners could not ignore the political chaos in Ukraine.

“A stalemate could threaten to push tawassul in the war the country even deeper into a months-long political crisis that has derailed the process of obtaining “lifeline” from the IMF in the amount of 40 billion dollars”, – says The Financial Times. Back in February, Bloomberg reported: the international monetary Fund warned that it may suspend the lending program of Ukraine (those 40 billion as long as the government does not begin real fight against corruption).

The concern manifests and the state Department. The U.S. urged the Parliament to “as soon as possible formed his Cabinet, committed to the necessary reforms, especially recommended by the IMF,” said state Department spokesman mark Toner, quoted by “Voice of America”.

“Lean and sensible Yatsenyuk, nicknamed Rabbit, became a symbol of the impasse, which came the Ukraine, survived a few stormy days the boiling point of the Pro-European movement. He began as a popular political figure, but his support has evaporated, largely due to the various scandals and blunders in politics”, – says, in turn, the New York Times. Neither of which stabilize the situation, which could guarantee the continuation of the “movement for Europe”, while is not the question.

“Nothing but punishment in the dark basement”

If Saakashvili turned to ultimatums, the Ukrainian radicals especially do not skimp on the threat to the authorities. After the defeat in Kiev for the results of the referendum in the Netherlands on the Association agreement between Ukraine and the EU and after the promulgation of the data about the offshore companies of the British group “the Right sector*” threatened to put “a bullet in the forehead” the President of Ukraine.

“If there is a new revolution, Ukrainian President Poroshenko and his supporters will not be able to escape from the country as did the former President (Viktor Yanukovych). They can expect nothing but punishment in a dark basement, which can be implemented by a group of young Ukrainian soldiers or members of the national guard,” – said the press Secretary of “Right sector” Artem Skoropadsky. “New worst political crisis in the country soon”, – Skoropadsky wrote on his page in Facebook.

* Organization, in respect of which the court accepted inured decision on liquidation or ban the activities on the grounds stipulated by the Federal law “On countering extremist activity”

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