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Monday, May 29, 2017

“A decree on the resignation of Saakashvili became a part of the game around the post of Prime Minister”


On the first day of Lent President “almost ready” with the following candidacy of Arseniy Yatsenyuk head of government. Some experts continue to talk about possible Premiership of Mikhail Saakashvili — but at the same time talking about his resignation from the post of Governor of the Odessa region. What are the undercurrents of today’s Ukrainian policy?

photo: Alexander Astafiev

Fresh human hand with “almost certain” candidate for the changer Yatsenyuk outlined the head of the faction PPO Yuriy Lutsenko.

Take note of the word Lutsenko about “convincing candidates for the post of Prime Minister.” At least because to cheat on such a day, according to the Christian traditions of Ukraine, is almost a mortal sin.

Today Poroshenko met with leaders of parliamentary factions to discuss ways out of political crisis. The first option, the head of state sees the technocratic government headed by Natalie Jaresko “in the case of unification of all Pro-European factions” around this government. “The second is “political government (for example, led by Andriy Sadoviy). The purpose of this government, like the previous acceleration of the pace of reforms”, — said the press Secretary of the President Svyatoslav Tsegolko.

A third option out of the political crisis is the government headed by some other person.

“If parliamentary forces have other candidates, let them offer and find 226 votes in the Verkhovna Rada. The President is ready to work with any candidate who will propose a coalition,” – said Tsegolko.

Kiev media, as if to confirm the alleged choices made early Monday morning drew the attention of the viewers and listening audience for “extensive conversation” with Poroshenko Andriy Sadovyi is the founder and ideological mentor of the parliamentary party “Samopomich”. Although actually it could go “only” about the return of the eponymous faction in the coalition “European Ukraine”.

Neither the Minister of Finance Yaresko, neither the mayor of Lviv Sadovyi expressed his passionate desire to lead the Cabinet, which have long been known to any Ukrainian man in the street

“The reluctance of become Prime Minister today, it is quite clear, – wrote in a prominent Ukrainian imperious political expert Taras Berezovets. Garden one of the best if not the best city Manager in the country and with the prospect to compete for the presidency. So to sit in an electric chair in his place I wouldn’t either. But who said that early elections to the Verkhovna Rada favorable to him, and not Tymoshenko and Saakashvili? Therefore, depopulate (BPP, NF and the same “Samopomich”) must unite for the nation”.

The same party of incumbent Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk Anton Gerashchenko (Ukrainian faction “popular front”) also doubted strongly implanted hearing: “Asked whether Andrei Ivanovich (Landscape ed.), if he wants to become Prime Minister of Ukraine and take all the negativity from the existing distribution of powers between Prime Minister and President laid out in the Constitution? If Andriy Sadovy his desire to be Prime Minister to the President had expressed, why do you say that? Now if the Garden will come from the President, with whom he is now meeting on Bank, and say that he doesn’t want to be Prime Minister, it will brand in social networks and media that he does not want to take responsibility for the country”.

Another reason for insecurity in the future “overthrow the government” – the lack of votes in the “European Ukraine”. According to estimates Yuriy Lutsenko, the coalition includes 237 soldiers. Actually they are not more than 215. Even if all the 137 members of the faction “Block of Petro Poroshenko” will be on tomorrow’s vote and push the button “for”, A. Yatseniuk will still hold. And the “eternal Prime Minister” – with the right to transfer positions except by inheritance.

The probability of this option indirectly confirmed today speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Volodymyr Groysman, who says “three weeks of consultations have not given the slightest result” and exit “from the crisis Yatsenyuk” is actually not found.

“Let’s not be naive – all can win it is Arseny, – said the former Deputy Parliament speaker Stepan Havrysh. He has already declared that agree to a sacred renewal of the Cabinet, which is ready to give President key posts in it. The Constitution had nothing to do with that – against (meaning laid down in the basic Law premiere right personally to form financial unit of the government, leaving the President the power block – ed.)”.

Solve only the problem of the replacement of interior Minister Arsen Avakov (who has been “throat” of the presidential Administration of Ukraine), according to gavrisha, in principle, possible.

“The President wants more and more power, his team and all the Praetorians even more threads and new schemes, – wrote in Facebook Stepan Gavrish. – This is the essence of the problem. Yatsenyuk also with the team. And sharing it is difficult, if possible. The President has very harsh times. There is no one to close it together with Yatsenyuk somewhere in the office to stop the war among themselves, and gave each other hands. So did the third President of Ukraine Viktor Yushchenko in 2005, closing Tymoshenko and Poroshenko (at the time the Prime Minister and security Council Secretary and defense – ed.) for reconciliation. But the handshake never happened, why in the 2006 elections won the Party of regions”.

Candidate for the “third option”, marked Svyatoslav Tsegolko, is considered to be Mikhail Saakashvili. For ex-the head of Georgia theoretically exist the possibility to become the Prime Minister of Ukraine, the Verkhovna Rada, and especially the presidents of Ukraine, it is forbidden. The soundings of public opinion (when predicted in the premiere and the Swede Carl Bildt, and the pole Leszek Balcerowicz) showed that Ukrainians in this case will not go to the Maidan, and again to “demand change”.

What is sorely lacking for the Premiership of Saakashvili, because it is a proper political force in the Parliament, across the state.

The Governor of Odessa region, still declaring “the establishment of new rules of the game and the coming to power in Ukraine a new political elite”, today suddenly backpedaled. He no longer seeks to create a party named after himself, beloved. His Deputy Sasha Borovik also “passed back”.

“In the context of the interview to the newspaper “Today” I want to make a statement that creates or has created a new party, wrote Mr. Borovik in Facebook. – “Movement for Achishena” (“Motion for Clarification” – ed.) this Association, created as a broad forum for the fight against corruption. At the moment you are writing the program for this Motion and I Express their wishes of how this program and future movement needs to be.

By doing this, I exclusively represent their views and wishes. I represent neither the coordinating Council of the movement, nor someone from its members. I am very sorry that my answers in the interview were interpreted as the proclamation of a new party. This is not true. I also regret that my answers are interpreted as the position of the organization or the widespread opinion among the members of the movement and its coordinating Council”.

In comments to Ukrainian the Internet-editions Mikhail Saakashvili said: “I have not discussed the game no questions about the creation of the party. No party now not planning to create. It is not true”. That is, the head of the Odessa region is in no hurry to oppose itself to the prevailing in the composition of the current Parliament “Block Poroshenko” and “Popular front”.

Meanwhile, today in Odessa media reported that Poroshenko allegedly has already signed a decree on the resignation of Saakashvili as head of the region — and this paper with an open date is to keep the Governor of the Odessa region “on a short leash”…

That Yatseniuk will remain at his previous post, and the “popular front” will come from the coalition, and I am sure the Director of the Institute of global strategies Vadim Karasev: “I do Not think that in the nearest future Ukraine will have global shocks. Yatsenyuk does not demonstrate readiness to resign, Poroshenko has no candidate for the post of Prime Minister.”

As elusive, according to Karasiov, the Prime Minister Natalia Jaresko. As in the case of Mikheil Saakashvili, the lady does not have its own political power and for that reason doomed in the Verkhovna Rada to permanent obstruction. “Jaresko is theoretically possible to appoint the acting head of the government, but it will be after that weak political figure. After all, it will stand unless the IMF and the conditional part of the presidential team. Chance to remain in office without support in Parliament, even this, which at this time has Yatsenyuk, Natalya practically does not exist…”.

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